San Francisco Chronicle

Leaked memos warn of key shortages in Brexit chaos

- By Raphael Satter Raphael Satter is an Associated Press writer.

LONDON — Secret British government documents warn of serious disruption­s across the country in the event the U.K. leaves the European Union without a trade deal on Oct. 31, according to the Sunday Times.

The newspaper published what it said were three pages worth of “planning assumption­s” detailing what the British government expects in the case of a sudden, “nodeal” exit from the EU. Among the most serious: “significan­t” disruption­s to the supply of drugs and medicine, a decrease in the availabili­ty of fresh food and even potential fresh water shortages due to possible interrupti­ons of imported water treatment chemicals.

Although the grim scenarios reportedly outlined in the government documents have long been floated by academics and economists, they’ve been repeatedly dismissed as scaremonge­ring by proponents of Britain’s departure from the EU.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said he is ready to leave the EU regardless of whether he is able to renegotiat­e the Brexit deal struck with Brussels by his predecesso­r, Theresa May.

His own officials, however, have warned that with a nodeal Brexit, the sharing of law enforcemen­t data and the health of Britain’s crucial financial services industry could be in jeopardy after Oct. 31.

The documents published by the Times also quote officials as warning that up to 85% of all trucks would not be ready for French customs at the critical Channel crossing on Oct. 31, causing lines that could stretch out for days. Some 75% of all drugs coming into Britain arrive via the crossing, the memos warn, “making them particular­ly vulnerable to severe delays.”

The officials also foresee “critical elements” of the food supply chain being affected.

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