San Francisco Chronicle

Flaming forecast

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Widespread power outages. Fastburnin­g, frightenin­g fires.

It’s been an exhausting, terrifying month in the Bay Area, and fire season isn’t even over yet.

Disasterwe­ary residents have yet to receive many answers, whether from Pacific Gas and Electric Co. (which has said its planned power shutoffs could last as long as 10 years) or their state leaders in Sacramento. As yet another massive fire burns in Sonoma County, they deserve far more communicat­ion and better solutions.

There’s a promising state pilot program that may provide both. In Southern California, local fire officials are working with a UC San Diego supercompu­ter to predict the direction of wildfires.

One of the supercompu­ter’s tools, known as WIFIRE, uses realtime data to simulate fire progress, allowing firefighte­rs to gauge a fire’s direction for about six hours in the future. Firefighte­rs used it to battle the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles, which broke out on Monday morning and was 55% contained as of Wednesday night.

Firefighti­ng in California has never been more important — and it’s never faced so many limits.

The Department of the Interior has reported being short hundreds of firefighte­rs this year. (Many of California’s largest and worst fires have been on federal land.) Rural counties face volunteer force shortages. Even as existing crews are overstretc­hed, the new crop of severe wildfires has made the job more intense and dangerous.

This new tool could help thin crews make better use of their time and resources, saving both lives and communitie­s.

Obstacles to full adoption include funding, the usual challenges involved in coordinati­ng multiple agencies, and the potential for even more shortnotic­e power outages as officials receive the realtime data.

None of these hurdles are insurmount­able, and none of them should distract state leaders from the goal of extending this program into all of the state’s fire zones as quickly as possible.

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