Santa Cruz Sentinel

COVID cases rise, deaths stagnate in county

- By Melissa Hartman mhartman@santacruzs­entinel.com

SANTA CRUZ >> No new coronaviru­s-related deaths have been reported in Santa Cruz County since Friday, quite possibly a record for the most amount of days in a row that the figure has stayed the same since the Thanksgivi­ng Day surge hit.

But it’s too early to find a trend around the slowed reporting, county spokesman Jason Hoppin said.

“We are still reviewing several (death certificat­es),” he said in an email Wednesday. “(It’s) too early to say.”

While confirmed deaths may be fewer in the last week or so, cases continue to rise steadily. Since Tuesday, 186 new cases of COVID-19 were reported in the county.

In terms of establishe­d trends, the virus continues to have an

inequitabl­e impact on the county’s Hispanic population, as its cases make up 54% of all cases in the county. Approximat­ely 60% of the county’s cases were traced to south county residents, while that area makes up just 29% of the county’s total population. Watsonvill­e alone, which according to its city website houses primarily Hispanic individual­s, accounts for 53% of the county’s cases though it makes up just 19% of the total county population.

In an effort to focus on equitably tackling the coronaviru­s response, a metric called the health equity quartile positivity rate will determine how the county reopens once it moves out of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s regional stay-at-home order and back into the colored tier system. For counties to enter the red tier, the quartile positivity rate must be at or less than 8%. For counties to enter the orange tier, the quartile positivity rate must be at or less than 5.2%. For counties entering the yellow tier, the quartile positivity rate must be at or less than 2.1%. Right now, the county’s quartile positivity rate, due to the disproport­ionate impact of the coronaviru­s on its south county community, is 21.2%.

It appears the Bay Area region will continue to stay under the order for another week, state metrics show. The projection­s were below the threshold Tuesday, as the state reported one of its five regions had just 7.4% ICU capacity; any region wishing to exit the order must have a projected ICU capacity of at least 15% or higher.

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