Santa Fe New Mexican

Alberto hits Florida, raising flood worries

- By Matt Stevens New York Times

The first named storm of the season — Subtropica­l Storm Alberto — made landfall on Florida’s Panhandle on Monday evening, officials said.

Emergency management officials in Florida said the storm struck Laguna Beach just before 5 p.m. with wind speeds of about 45 mph. And although some gusts were said to have been stronger, officials have signaled that they are even more worried about the potential for torrential rain and severe flooding.

An array of mandatory and voluntary evacuation orders have been issued. With the heavy toll of Hurricane Irma in the state’s rearview mirror, Gov. Rick Scott has already declared a state of emergency in all 67 Florida counties.

Forecaster­s said they expect the Florida Panhandle as well as parts of eastern and central Alabama and western Georgia to get between 4 and 8 inches of rain through Tuesday, with some isolated areas getting as much as a foot; they warned that flash flooding was possible in Florida, much of Alabama, and western Georgia.

Storm surge in Florida could cause water to rise as high as 3 feet from the Aucilla River to Mexico Beach, they said. Isolated tornadoes were also possible over parts of Georgia and southeast Alabama.

After the exceptiona­lly destructiv­e season last year, forecaster­s said last week that the possibilit­y of a weak El Niño, along with near-average sea surface temperatur­es, suggest that this year’s hurricane season will be normal or only slightly more active than average.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheri­c Administra­tion’s forecaster­s predicted a 70 percent likelihood of 10 to 16 named storms this year with winds of 39 mph or higher.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 until Nov. 1 and peaks from mid-August through late October. Last year, there were 17 named storms, 10 of which became hurricanes; the first named storm was Arlene — a rare preseason tropical storm that arrived in April.

“We’re not expecting the season to be one of the most active on record,” said Gerry Bell, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. But, he added, “It’s time to start getting prepared.”

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