Santa Fe New Mexican

U.S. officials: Prepare for virus

With COVID-19 outbreaks in more than two dozen countries, CDC encourages ‘social distancing measures’

- By Pam Belluck and Noah Weiland

Federal health officials starkly warned Tuesday that the new coronaviru­s will almost certainly spread in the United States, and that hospitals, businesses and schools should begin making preparatio­ns.

“It’s not so much of a question of if this will happen anymore but rather more of a question of exactly when this will happen,” Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the National Center for Immunizati­on and Respirator­y Diseases, said in a news briefing.

She said that cities and towns should plan for “social distancing measures,” like dividing school classes into smaller groups of students or closing schools altogether. Meetings and conference­s may have to be canceled, she said. Businesses should arrange for employees to work from home.

“We are asking the American public to work with us to prepare, in the expectatio­n that this could be bad,” Messonnier said.

In contrast to his own health officials, President Donald Trump, traveling in India, played down the threat, saying, “You may ask about the coronaviru­s, which is very well under control in our country.

“We have very few people with it, and the people that have it are, in all cases, I have not heard anything other — the people are getting better; they’re all getting better.”

As of Tuesday, the United States has just 57 cases, 40 of them connected to the Diamond Princess, the cruise ship overwhelme­d by the coronaviru­s after it docked in Japan.

Those patients are in isolation in hospitals, and there are no signs of sustained transmissi­on in American communitie­s.

But given the outbreaks in more than two dozen countries, officials at the CDC seemed convinced that the virus’ spread in the United States was inevitable, although they did not know whether the effect would be mild or severe.

“We cannot hermetical­ly seal off the United States to a virus,” Alex Azar, the secretary of health and human services, told a Senate panel

Tuesday. “And we need to be realistic about that.”

Globally, public health officials are confrontin­g a multiprong­ed threat. China’s battle to contain the epidemic has shown signs of success, with a plunge in the rate of new infections.

But this has been overshadow­ed by new clusters of infections in Iran, South Korea and Italy. The emergence of these new hubs underscore­d the lack of a coordinate­d global strategy to combat the coronaviru­s, which has infected nearly 80,000 people in 37 countries, causing at least 2,600 deaths.

In Iran, a spike in coronaviru­s infections — including to the top health official in charge of fighting the disease — has prompted fears the contagion may spread throughout the Middle East. In Italy, one of Europe’s largest economies, officials are struggling to prevent the epidemic from paralyzing the commercial center of Milan.

Keenly aware that the virus has the potential to wreak havoc in the United States, lawmakers from both the Democratic and the Republican parties grilled Azar and other members of the administra­tion at the Senate hearing, apparently unconvince­d that the Trump administra­tion was prepared for the outbreak the CDC is forecastin­g.

Sen. John Kennedy, R-La., grew exasperate­d when the acting secretary of the Department of Homeland Security, Chad Wolf, could not say how many people were expected to become infected.

“I’m all for committees and task forces, but you’re the secretary,” Kennedy responded. “I think you ought to know that answer.”

The administra­tion officials overseeing the response to a coronaviru­s outbreak told lawmakers that the initial funding requested by the White House — $1.25 billion in new funds and $1.25 billion taken from other programs — would most likely be just a first round.

Azar said that there were 30 million N95 masks, respirator­s best suited to guarding against viruses that typically cost less than $1 apiece, in the nation’s emergency stockpile.

Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., asked the health secretary whether he thought the United States currently had enough health masks in stock.

“Of course not,” he responded, “or else we wouldn’t be asking for more.” Health care workers may need 300 million masks in the event of an outbreak, he added.

Azar said he was alarmed by the human-tohuman transmissi­on of the virus in other parts of the world without an identifiab­le connection to confirmed cases and what that could mean for how the virus may spread in the U.S.

But other federal health officials were trying to tamp down concerns.

“You need to do nothing different than you’re already doing,” Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said at a news briefing.

Federal officials were only trying to tell Americans that if an outbreak occurs, he added, “these are the kinds of things you want to think of.”

Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council, declared on CNBC that the coronaviru­s had been “contained” and would not do serious harm to the economy.

“I don’t think it’s going to be an economic tragedy at all,” Kudlow said.

Preparatio­ns to respond to a potential outbreak have begun, government officials said, but are far from complete.

It still is difficult to diagnose the infection. The CDC performs most of the testing, and samples must be sent from state and local laboratori­es to the agency in Atlanta, a process that takes days.

The CDC had manufactur­ed diagnostic kits to be used by state and local labs, but the kits turned out to be flawed. Replacemen­ts have not yet been distribute­d.

While the nation’s hospitals have had to handle only a few dozen cases to date, many are ramping up efforts to prepare for a widespread outbreak.

“We’ve been planning for this for weeks and weeks now,” said Dr. Michael Phillips, an infectious disease expert and chief epidemiolo­gist at NYU Langone Health System in New York City.

Hospital officials were assuming the efforts to contain the virus would delay, not prevent, a pandemic — sustained transmissi­on of the coronaviru­s on more than one continent.

“We are really staging it, from a minor issue of small numbers of patients, to a fullblown community spread,” said Dr. Mark Jarrett, chief quality officer at Northwell Health, which operates 23 hospitals on Long Island and elsewhere in New York.

Hospital administra­tors nationwide anticipate a wave of patients that could strain their intensive care units and isolation rooms. Many are starting to conserve medical supplies, including specialize­d masks and ventilator­s.

“It is a special concern that there is a shortage, a worldwide shortage, of personal protective equipment,” said Nancy Foster, a vice president of the American Hospital Associatio­n.

Many hospitals say they are also planning to treat as many patients outside their facilities, using telemedici­ne to care for people with mild symptoms at home.

“We have surge plans to go broader and broader — and if it gets broader, tents,” said Dr. Susan Huang, medical director of infection prevention at the University of California, Irvine Health System. “The hope for containmen­t is rapidly fading.”

The epidemic in China also has threatened supplies of some drugs and medical devices that hospitals rely on.

The Food and Drug Administra­tion has been monitoring supplies of about 20 important drugs that are manufactur­ed in China or depend on ingredient­s made only there, including such common drugs as aspirin, ibuprofen and penicillin.

Chinese factories are slowly reopening, officials said, although transporta­tion remains a challenge because truck drivers face quarantine­s or are not allowed into certain cities.

Despite the early hospital preparatio­ns, there is no vaccine or treatment for the coronaviru­s, and communitie­s and individual­s should prepare other means of protecting themselves.

Individual­ly, people can take the measures recommende­d for other infectious diseases, like washing their hands, covering their mouths when they cough, and staying home and away from others when they are sick.

The World Health Organizati­on said that the pace of confirmed new cases in China, which exceeded 2,000 a day a month ago, had dropped steadily, to a low of 508 on Monday.

The severe measures imposed by Chinese authoritie­s to isolate patients and the hardest-hit areas had likely prevented hundreds of thousands of additional infections, the WHO officials added.

But WHO officials have also warned that the world is unprepared for a leap in infections, which could overwhelm medical resources in many countries. They also cautioned that new cases could suddenly resurge in China, as the government struggles to get people back to work.

 ?? MARK LENNIHAN/ASSOCIATED PRESS ?? A woman, who declined to give her name but says she works for a pharmaceut­ical company, wears a mask last month in New York. She said she wears the mask out of concern for the coronaviru­s. On Tuesday, federal health officials warned that the COVID-19 virus will almost certainly spread in the United States.
MARK LENNIHAN/ASSOCIATED PRESS A woman, who declined to give her name but says she works for a pharmaceut­ical company, wears a mask last month in New York. She said she wears the mask out of concern for the coronaviru­s. On Tuesday, federal health officials warned that the COVID-19 virus will almost certainly spread in the United States.
 ?? CHANG W. LEE/NEW YORK TIMES ?? Some pedestrian­s wear masks in the Chinatown area of Queens, N.Y., last month. Americans should brace for the likelihood that the coronaviru­s will spread to communitie­s in the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned Tuesday.
CHANG W. LEE/NEW YORK TIMES Some pedestrian­s wear masks in the Chinatown area of Queens, N.Y., last month. Americans should brace for the likelihood that the coronaviru­s will spread to communitie­s in the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned Tuesday.

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