Santa Fe New Mexican

◆ Who wins the battle of 5-0 teams the Steelers and Titans? See Matchups for a prediction.

- By Benjamin Hoffman

The NFL somehow got through a rash of facility closings last week without having to delay any games, which was a hopeful sign that the league had found a way to chug along despite the ongoing concerns about the coronaviru­s. Of course, the potential for a serious outbreak means the calendar will remain up in the air on a week-to-week basis.

Last week’s record: 4-10

Overall record: 47-43-1

Bye weeks: Indianapol­is, Miami, Minnesota, Baltimore.

BROADCAST LOCALLY

Steelers at Titans

11 a.m. CBS

Line: Steelers -2 | Total: 52.5

It might be hard to pinpoint what year this game is being played. The Steelers (5-0) and their throwback uniforms, their throwback quarterbac­k, their throwback defense and their throwback roster constructi­on will take their tried-and-true approach to Tennessee to face the Titans (5-0), a team powered by an in-your-face running game centered on a single bell cow back.

Pittsburgh is a far more complete team than Tennessee and is a worthy favorite on the road.

Pick: Steelers -2

Cowboys at Washington

11 a.m. Fox Line: Off | Total: Off

The NFC East is so bad that even after last week’s humiliatio­n by the Cardinals, the Cowboys (2-4) stayed in first place. And they can cement themselves there by beating the lowly Footballer­s (1-5) on the road.

There was a lot to not like about Dallas’ performanc­e Monday night. The pass protection was awful, which forced Andy Dalton into numerous throws he’d like back. And even the throws Dalton had time for didn’t look very good. Ezekiel Elliott made costly mistakes, and the Cowboys’ defense made Arizona’s offense look like that of the Baltimore Ravens. There are even rumblings that the team is desperatel­y unhappy with coach Mike McCarthy, who is six games into a five-year contract.

Dalton is not what he once was, but he is probably not as bad as he looked. Elliott has declined over the past few seasons, but he is not typically a liability. And Dallas, should the team be able to sort out some of those issues, still has an absurd collection of pass-catchers.

Pick: Cowboys

Chiefs at Broncos

2:25 p.m. CBS

Line: Chiefs -9.5 | Total: 48

In Week 6, Drew Lock of the Broncos (2-3) joined Colin Kaepernick as the only first- or second-year quarterbac­ks to win a regular season game on the road in Foxborough, Mass., since 2001. All other starters — a group that includes Patrick Mahomes — went 0-40.

It’s a fun statistic, but it belies the fact that Lock’s passer rating in the win was 34.9 and all of Denver’s points came on field goals. That will not work against Mahomes and the Chiefs (5-1). But the Broncos are 4-1 against the spread and could get to 5-1 if they can lull Kansas City into a quiet victory.

Pick: Broncos +9.5

Seahawks at Cardinals

6:20 p.m. NBC

Line: Seahawks -3.5 | Total: 56.5

For as dominant as the Seahawks’ (5-0) offense has been, Seattle is not exactly running away with games. The team’s average margin of victory is 6.8 points, and all of their opponents have scored at least 23 points. The 3-3 Miami Dolphins (+47) have a better point differenti­al than the 5-0 Seahawks (+34). The same is true for eight other teams, multiple of which have two losses.

Having your defense allow games to be that close is a terrible idea against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals (4-2), who are never more than a single pass or a run away from scoring. Murray is starting to live up to his hype, rushing for six touchdowns and leading the NFL with 7.3 yards per carry while improving his passing statistics across the board from last season.

Playing at home, it seems odd that the Cardinals are an underdog.

Pick: Cardinals +3.5

Bears at Rams

6:15 p.m. Monday ESPN

Line: Rams -5.5 | Total: 45.5

Are the Bears (5-1) better than anyone thought? Or are they benefiting from an outrageous spurt of good luck that has powered them to such a terrific start? Your answer probably depends on your rooting interests and/or your proximity to Chicago. Nothing about the team’s offense indicates that future opponents have anything to fear, but the Bears’ defense is legitimate enough that you can’t write off their success. And almost regardless of how real the start is, the fact remains that over the past 10 seasons, 24 of 29 teams that started 5-1 went on to make the playoffs. (And this year’s postseason is expanded.)

Going on the road to face the Rams (4-2) should be a good test for Chicago.

Pick: Rams -5.5

OTHER GAMES

Packers at Texans

11 a.m.

Line: Packers -3.5 | Total: 57 Coming off what was arguably the second-worst start of his career, Aaron Rodgers is likely very angry. He was under constant pressure from Tampa Bay’s defense and was sacked more times in that game (four) than he had been in the previous four games combined (three). He threw multiple intercepti­ons for just the 16th time in his career.

For an idea of how unusual that was for Rodgers, the two intercepti­ons equaled his total from the 2018 season and raised his intercepti­on rate this year to 1.15 percent, which is still the fourth-lowest rate among players who have attempted 100 or more passes.

If the Packers (4-1) can cobble together a way to keep the Texans’ (1-5) J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus away from Rodgers, he should be able to pick apart Houston’s defense with ease.

Pick: Packers -3.5

Bills at Jets

11 a.m.

Line: Bills -13 | Total: 46

People have stopped talking about Josh Allen as a candidate for the NFL’s MVP Award. His outrageous four-game start has given way to consecutiv­e disappoint­ing games and a pair of losses for the Bills (4-2). To be fair, losing to Kansas City and Tennessee is not exactly an indictment of Allen or his teammates, and the offensive machine of the first four weeks should return in earnest against the Jets (0-6). Picking a team to win by two touchdowns is always an enormous risk but Gang Green has no one capable of slowing down wide receivers Stefon Diggs, John Brown and Cole Beasley.

Pick: Bills -13

Panthers at Saints

11 a.m.

Line: Saints -7.5 | Total: 51

The Panthers (3-3) “only” allow 121.3 yards rushing a game — 18th-best in the NFL — but in terms of efficiency they, are far worse. They allow an average of 4.9 yards a carry (27th) and have conceded nine rushing touchdowns (tied for 29th), leaving them rated as the 26th most efficient run defense by Football Outsiders. So if the Saints (3-2) want to rest their passing game for a week, Alvin Kamara could exploit those weaknesses and carry the team to a slightly narrower win than oddsmakers have predicted.

Pick: Panthers +7.5

Browns at Bengals

11 a.m.

Line: Browns -3 | Total: 53.5

No one throws cold water on enthusiasm quite like the Browns (4-2). Cleveland got off to its best five-game start since 1994 and proceeded to get demolished so brutally by Pittsburgh in Week 6 that Case Keenum, the team’s backup quarterbac­k, had his name trending on Twitter by halftime. Was that an overreacti­on? It will probably feel like one Sunday, as Cleveland’s offense should feast on the Bengals (1-4-1), whom they beat by 35-30 in Week 2. But with four games of 32 or more points, and two games of 7 or fewer, it would be fair to label Cleveland as an exciting team that isn’t ready for true contender status.

Pick: Browns -3

Lions a Falcons

11 a.m.

Line: Falcons -2.5 | Total: 57 Teams often get a boost from firing a struggling coach. But to say Raheem Morris taking over for Dan Quinn was the key to the Falcons (1-5) getting their first win would be to ignore the return of receiver Julio Jones to the lineup and the fact that Vikings quarterbac­k Kirk Cousins appeared to confuse Atlanta’s defensive backs with his own wide receivers. The Falcons have a chance for a second win when they host the Lions (2-3).

Pick: Falcons -2.5

Buccaneers at Raiders

2:05 p.m.

Line: Buccaneers -3 | Total: 53.5

The Buccaneers (4-2) did not sign Tom Brady thinking they were getting the record-setter from 2007. They signed him because he rarely makes mistakes, he has shown steady leadership and he can still stretch a field, even at 43, when he needs to. Tampa Bay knows its youthful defense is its future, and the team’s plan showed its potential in last week’s dismantlin­g of Green Bay. The question now is if the Buccaneers will fall prey to the trap of underestim­ating the Raiders (3-2) like Kansas City did two weeks ago. Tampa Bay was uneven enough in its first five games that it shouldn’t be anointed a contender just yet.

Pick: Buccaneers -3

49ers at Patriots

2:25 p.m.

Line: Patriots -2.5 | Total: 44.5

The 49ers (3-3) desperatel­y want last week to be an indication of their quality, and the Patriots (2-3) are hoping the opposite is true. San Francisco opened a big early lead and cruised to a win over the Los Angeles Rams. New England lost at home to Denver despite Cam Newton being given several easy chances to push his team ahead. The truth for both teams is probably somewhere in the middle. The 49ers’ offense needs more from quarterbac­k Jimmy Garoppolo, and its defense is missing too many important players. The Patriots may not be a top contender, but they’re not “scoring just 12 points against Denver” level bad.

With San Francisco starting a third-string running back, and Newton having shaken off some rust, New England should take care of business.

Pick: Patriots -2.5

Jaguars at Chargers

2:25 p.m.

Line: Chargers -7.5 | Total: 49

This is a matchup of very different onewin teams. The Jaguars (1-5) have lost five straight, have cooled off on offense after a strongish start and have the worst defense in the NFL. There is some reason for optimism considerin­g the potential of running back James Robinson and wide receivers D.J. Chark and Laviska Shenault Jr. But that optimism turning into anything meaningful would involve replacing Gardner Minshew at quarterbac­k and just about every player on defense.

The Chargers (1-4), meanwhile, have lost four in a row, but have an extremely bright future with quarterbac­k Justin Herbert, who has kept each of those four games within a touchdown, twice going to overtime.

Spotting a team with a few key injuries on defense nearly 8 points, however, may be too bold. A narrower victory is more likely.

Pick: Jaguars +7.5

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