Santa Fe New Mexican

U.S. job growth remains strong

Unemployme­nt rate of 3.9% still low by historic standards

- By Paul Wiseman

WASHINGTON — America’s employers delivered another healthy month of hiring in February, adding a surprising 275,000 jobs and again showcasing the U.S. economy’s resilience in the face of high interest rates.

Last month’s job growth marked an increase from 229,000 jobs in January. At the same time, the unemployme­nt rate ticked up two-tenths of a point in February to 3.9%. Though that was the highest rate in two years, it is still low by historic standards. And it marked the 25th straight month in which joblessnes­s has remained below 4% — the longest such streak since the 1960s.

Yet despite sharply lower inflation, a healthy job market and a record-high stock market, many Americans say they are unhappy with the state of the economy — a sentiment that is sure to weigh on President Joe Biden’s bid for re-election. Many voters blame Biden for the surge in consumer prices that began in 2021. Though inflationa­ry pressures have significan­tly eased, average prices remain about 17% above where they stood three years ago.

Friday’s report gave the inflation fighters at the Federal Reserve some encouragin­g news: Average hourly wages rose just 0.1% from January, the smallest monthly gain in more than two years, and 4.3% from a year earlier, less than expected. Average pay growth has been exceeding inflation for more than year, but when it rises too fast it can feed inflation.

The latest figures reflected the job market’s sustained ability to withstand the 11 rate hikes the Fed imposed in its drive against inflation, which made borrowing much costlier for households and businesses. Employers have continued to hire briskly to meet steady demand from consumers across the economy.

The February figures will likely make Fed officials more comfortabl­e about cutting rates sometime in the coming months. With December and January job gains revised sharply down, wage growth easing and the unemployme­nt rate up, the Fed’s policymake­rs aren’t likely to worry about an overheatin­g economy. Most economists and Wall Street traders expect the first rate cut to come in June. The Fed stopped raising rates in July and has signaled that it envisions three rate cuts this year.

The unemployme­nt rate rose last month in part because more people began looking for a job and didn’t immediatel­y find one. The Fed could be reassured by the influx of job seekers, which typically makes it easier for businesses to fill jobs without having to significan­tly raise pay.

Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial Services, said he was impressed by the breadth of hiring last month: Among industries, health care companies added 67,000 jobs, government at all levels 52,000, restaurant­s and bars 42,000, constructi­on companies 23,000 and retailers 19,000.

When the Fed began aggressive­ly raising rates in March 2022 to fight the worst bout of inflation in four decades, a painful recession was widely predicted, with waves of layoffs and high unemployme­nt. The Fed boosted its benchmark rate to the highest level in more than two decades.

Inflation has eased, more or less steadily, in response: Consumer prices in January were up just 3.1% from a year earlier — way down from a yearover-year peak of 9.1% in 2022 and edging closer to the Fed’s 2% target.

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