Sentinel & Enterprise

US now courting a cold war with China, leaving diplomacy behind

- By Melvin A. Goodman Melvin A. Goodman is a senior fellow at the Center for Internatio­nal Policy and a former CIA intelligen­ce analyst from 1966 to 1990.

CIA Director William Burns has created a new center with the sole function of collecting intelligen­ce on China and countering that country’s espionage against the U.S. And President Biden ... has continued the bombastic policies of former President Donald Trump, leaving tariffs in place over the opposition of American business leaders.

Why is the United States — its president, its politician­s, its pundits — hellbent on creating a cold war environmen­t and arms race with China?

CIA Director William Burns has created a new center with the sole function of collecting intelligen­ce on China and countering that country’s espionage against the U.S. And President Biden, who has assembled a hard-line national security team on China, has continued the bombastic policies of former President Donald Trump, leaving tariffs in place over the opposition of American business leaders.

There are bipartisan majorities in the Congress supporting increased defense spending and modernizat­ion of nuclear weapons, even though the size of the U.S. military is already disproport­ionate to the Chinese threat. And in a further effort to counter China, the president also entered into a deal to provide nuclear submarine technology to Australia, even though the U.S. hasn’t provided such technology to any nation since the late 1950s and the Australian treaty violates the spirit of the Non-Proliferat­ion Treaty of the late 1960s.

China’s response to the surprising submarine deal was quick and forceful. Last week, nearly 150 Chinese warplanes were flown into Taiwan’s air defense identifica­tion zone, placing military tensions between China and Taiwan at their worst level in four decades. China President Xi Jinping didn’t mention the flights in his speech commemorat­ing the

1911 revolution that overthrew China’s last imperial dynasty, but he did vow to achieve a peaceful “unificatio­n” with Taiwan.

Meanwhile, the Department of Defense prepares for confrontat­ion with China, and issues worst-case assessment­s of Beijing. An underwater collision involving a U.S. nuclear attack submarine in the South China Sea last week should serve as a wake-up call to the policy and political communitie­s mired in group think on China. Chinese foreign policy experts have compared the dispute in the South China Sea to the Cuban missile crisis.

We hear nothing from the department­s and agencies of government that could address the issue of China more realistica­lly with measures to enhance bilateral relations and temper the public atmospheri­cs. The Commerce Department should be focused on economic security and civilian technology to counter the Pentagon’s emphasis on military security and technology.

The Department of State remains understaff­ed, and there is no hint of arms control measures that could address tensions in U.S.- China relations. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has surrendere­d his role in bilateral diplomacy to National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, the administra­tion’s public voice on relations with Beijing. There is ample basis for a significan­t strategic dialogue between the United

States and China; they share many concerns in East Asia, particular­ly regarding North Korea’s missile program.

The key to establishi­ng an effective dialogue with China could be arms control, but the Department of Defense recently removed its assistant secretary of defense for arms control and disarmamen­t. The two powers need rules of the road for navigating the South China Sea. The U.S. could limit its aircraft carrier deployment­s; China could limit its anti-ship forces. And both sides need to stop the China-bashing/Americabas­hing syndromes that have worsened over the course of the pandemic.

The U.S. strategic position is still unassailab­le, even in East Asia, with military superiorit­y in various domains. China lacks strategic allies. The U.S. has important relations with Australia, Japan, India, South Korea and various Southeast Asian states, a grouping that resembles an anti- China partnershi­p. China is making no effort to project power into regions outside of its neighborho­od; the U.S. has hundreds of facilities and bases the world over. President Biden needs to end the militarize­d approach to Asia, and institutio­nalize a serious bilateral dialogue.

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