It never works, yet Trump is once again trying to bomb toward peace
George Carlin said,
“Fighting for peace is like screwing for virginity.”
Given the timing, I assume he was referring to how the Nixon administration ramped up bombing in order to strengthen its hand against the North Vietnamese at the upcoming Paris
Peace Accords. Thousands of residents of Hanoi were killed with no practical effect at the negotiating table. “The wording of the (final peace) agreement was almost exactly the same as it had been at the beginning of December — before the Christmas bombing campaign,” Rebecca Kesby wrote for the BBC.
Henry Kissinger, the chief U.S. negotiator in Paris, admitted as much. “We bombed the North Vietnamese into accepting our concessions,” said Nixon's secretary of state, never missing a chance to be droll.
Here Donald Trump goes again.
“U.S. Heightens Attacks on Taliban in Push Toward Peace in Afghanistan,” read a New York Times headline on Feb. 8. One wag on my Facebook page commented: “It's like the headline writers aren't even trying anymore.”
“The Pentagon has stepped up airstrikes and special operations raids in Afghanistan to the highest levels since 2014 in what Defense Department officials described as a coordinated series of attacks on Taliban leaders and fighters,” began the Times piece. “The surge, which began during the fall, is intended to give American negotiators leverage in peace talks with the Taliban after President Trump said he would begin withdrawing troops and wind down the nearly 18-year war.”
Bombing a military target has obvious benefits: troops, equipment, materiel and infrastructure are destroyed or damaged rather than deployed against you and your forces.
Military planners tout a more subtle theory in favor of the strategic bombing of civilians. Military planners assume as an evidence-free article of faith that blowing up urban areas accomplishes more than killing people and destroying their homes. They seem to believe it softens them up, lowers their morale and undermines support for the government, perhaps even culminating in a popular uprising, bringing the conflict to an earlier conclusion and the installation of a friendly new regime. The thing is it only seems to have worked once: when Japan surrendered following the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
Non-nuclear bombing campaigns, no matter how ferocious or sustained, don't accomplish more than leaving craters where people once lived. “Although more than 40,000 people died during the eight months of the Blitz and in London about 1,000,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, there were no riots and war production increased steadily,” notes an Economist review of the book “The Bombing War: Europe 1939-1945” by Richard Overy. “People suffered, but the majority got used to it... Even when the Royal Air Force in 1942, closely followed by the U.S. Army Air Force, began to put together the famous ‘1000 bomber' raids that were supposed to ‘knock Germany out of the war,' German war production continued to ramp up and the Nazi regime never came remotely close to losing political control.”
Like the North Vietnamese in 1972, the Taliban in 2019 read newspapers. They probably know they've won. They probably know that the U.S. knows it has lost. They probably know U.S. voters have turned against the war against Afghanistan. Bombing or no bombing, all the Taliban have to do is hang tight before the U.S. leaves and tosses them the keys to the country on the way out.
Ramping up the violence now looks like what it is: a bitter, desperate, last-ditch effort to act even more like the monsters Afghans are probably convinced we are.
Aside from its pointlessness and total waste of life and treasure, what's shocking about the Trump administration's bombing-toward-peace campaign is its utter cluelessness about human nature. Trump won the presidency by accurately reading the mood of the