Sun Sentinel Broward Edition

The infrastruc­ture test: How do you do big things in an election year?

- By Llewellyn King

There is a shortage of long-distance truck drivers because of traffic jams. It is like this: Truck drivers are paid by the mile and if they are stuck in traffic for hours, they are not earning. A different wage structure could be conceived and implemente­d. That would partly shift the traffic jam cost from the drivers to the owners, or to the consumers.

But trucking charges are calculated on distance and weight, so changes could be difficult, even near-impossible. What if the price of vegetables fluctuated like airline fares? It would mean chaos for the whole transporta­tion chain. The solution, of course, is the infrastruc­ture. Fix it.

That is what President Trump has promised to do in 2018. Chances are that in an election year something will be done, but not much.

Trump may have gotten the legislativ­e order of his first and second years in office wrong: It may have been better to do infrastruc­ture reform before trying to repeal Obamacare and overhaulin­g taxes.

It is easy to talk about fixing the nation’s infrastruc­ture and very difficult to do. Every project, every dollar is fraught with special interests.

At the core of the thinking of Trump and the GOP is that infrastruc­ture revitaliza­tion can be achieved with public-private partnershi­ps. Sounds good: the costs are shared and the federal budget is eased. In reality, of the huge number of infrastruc­ture needs, very few are amenable to public-private partnershi­p. Outside of toll roads, not all that much is immediatel­y receptive to such partnershi­ps, and they can take years to negotiate.

The quickest fix for the infrastruc­ture is to increase the amount of funding through establishe­d channels, like the Highway Trust Fund and the Airport and Airway Trust Fund, also called the Aviation Trust Fund. These are the mechanisms that exist. It is the way that government­s — federal, state and local — know what to do. It also is the “money solution” and likely to run into severe disfavor from fiscal conservati­ves.

The idea that all infrastruc­ture, from airports to sea and river ports, to highways and bridges can be dealt with in one omnibus bill — the implicatio­n of Trump’s rhetoric — is fading. Think of it this way: An old mansion — as is U.S. infrastruc­ture — is falling apart. Does the owner take on the whole upgrading job, from dry rot remediatio­n to electrical rewiring to roof replacing? Or does he or she do it room by room?

In what is going to be a financiall­y constraine­d year, as the consequenc­es of the tax cut are digested, look for big hopes and small dollars. The deliverabl­es in the time frame are few.

The midterm elections will dominate. Therefore, Republican­s will push for privatizin­g the air traffic control system and initiating private-public partnershi­ps in things where there will eventually be a revenue stream to justify the private investment — possibly seaports; possibly selling off federally owned properties, like some airports; and giving accelerate­d regulatory relief to projects like new pipelines and transmissi­on lines, one of the most difficult infrastruc­ture undertakin­gs.

During his presidenti­al campaign, Trump talked about new infrastruc­ture funding of $1 trillion. Now the talk is in the low billions of dollars. To really understand such a climbdown, understand that a trillion is a thousand billion. Real money. Two billion dollars — which has been bandied about lately — is, well, you do the math, peanuts.

Over the holidays, it took a friend 10 hours to drive from Providence, R.I., to Newark, N.J., and 10 hours to drive back— a distance of 190 miles. Somewhere in that mess were untold numbers of truck drivers, trying to make a living and thinking about job alternativ­es.

One of the political motives for infrastruc­ture overhaul has been jobs. But with near full employment and a chronic shortage of skilled workers, here is a question: Who would do the work? It is a question that does not require an answer because, in the time available, small things will come from Congress to ameliorate the infrastruc­ture crisis and Trump will, as is his wont, couch withdrawal as victory.

The coming year will be a year of talking about infrastruc­ture. But you cannot cross a bridge with mere words, let alone repair it.

Llewellyn King is executive producer and host of “White House Chronicle” on PBS. His email is llewellynk­ing1@gmail.com. He wrote this for InsideSour­ces.com.

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