Beijing bullish on pharma biz
Party behind it, sector looks for next big thing
Eight years ago when Pittsburgh entrepreneur John Oyler was setting up a Beijing biotech company, he was warned that China was the wrong place to try drug development. “You can’t do anything innovative there,” was the refrain as funders turned him down.
Oyler stuck it out and put in $10 million of his own money to get his BeiGene Ltd. off the ground. Then President Xi Jinping’s government began a massive overhaul of regulations in the country’s $122 billion drug market. Money rushed in, and these days investors point to China’s health care sector as the possible birthplace of its next juggernauts — maybe even the next Alibaba.
BeiGene is now worth about $9 billion on the Nasdaq, a multiple of about seven times its 2016 IPO, and its experimental cancer drugs are being closely watched globally. Its sudden ascent is emblematic of the dramatic shift in the fortunes of China’s pharmaceutical industry, which for decades made only cheap copycat medicines.
In laboratories across China — from BeiGene’s shiny research centers to the sprawling biotech parks that dot the country — an army of scientists are racing to catch up with and then overtake their Western counterparts. They’re working overtime on everything from cutting-edge cancer therapies to genetic engineering, and they’re getting a boost from the Communist Party, which wants to build homegrown champions in the drug industry.
Investors are with the hope mighty Chinese piling in that the economic machine will remake the fortunes of this fledgling sector. Venture capital investment in China health care surged from $1 billion in 2013 to $11.7 billion last year, according to McKinsey & Co.
Just last week, two biotech companies were the focus of more than $4 billion in investment. China Biologic Products Holdings received a $3.5 billion offer from shareholder CITIC Capital Holdings, while Wuxi Biologics Cayman said its controlling shareholder is offering to sell a stake in the company for about $505 million.
“There’s a belief here that we can compare with anyone anywhere in the world,” said Oyler, who’s now BeiGene’s chief executive. “When the government turns and says let’s make sure this industry grows properly in China, you wind up with global leaders.”
As China battles surging rates of cancer, heart disease and diabetes, sales of medicines are expected to hit as much as $175 billion by 2022, according to researcher Iqvia Holdings. China is the world’s secondlargest pharmaceutical market after the U.S.
Chinese companies like BeiGene are hoping to grab a bigger slice of that pie from global drugmakers, who have for years dominated local sales of innovative therapies. If that works, the Chinese firms are hoping to take their drugs around the world.
Their plans are getting a boost from the government’s move in 2015 to overhaul regulations that had for decades slowed drug approvals and stifled innovation. These days innovative new drugs can reach the Chinese market in a fraction of the time the process once took.
Beijing’s ‘Made in China 2025’ initiative, intended to upgrade the country’s manufacturing industries, highlights plans to develop new targeted therapies, antibodies and vaccines while working toward breakthroughs cells.
All that’s helping Chinese companies move quickly on cutting-edge technologies like CAR-T, which uses human immune cells to fight cancers. While CAR-T was invented in the U.S. and already sells there, there currently are about as many clinical trials in China as in the U.S. for such drugs. Meanwhile, in sensitive fields like gene editing, Chinese labs also face fewer ethical and policy restraints on applying the new technologies to human beings.
“They’re putting the pieces together and they’re doing it at — by Western standards — an unbelievable pace and scale,” said Marshall Gordon, a New York-based biotech investor with Clearbridge Investments, who recently returned from a trip touring China’s biotech industry.
The Chinese government has a lengthy history of successfully elevating industries it deems important. At the turn of the century, in areas like stem firms like Alibaba and Holdings were known.
But within a decade, surging Internet usage, a flood of private money and favorable policies out of Beijing transformed them into some of the world’s most powerful technology behemoths.
Optimism that the drug industry could see a similar upturn has put Chinese biotech stocks on a tear, even with a recent pullback. Genscript Biotech, a maker of CAR-T therapies, has surged more than 16 times since the beginning of 2016. Wuxi Biologics, which develops and manufactures biologic drugs for clients, has risen about threefold in the year since its Hong Kong IPO.
Yet the risks remain plentiful. Most Chinese companies are still awaiting approvals for their medicines, and the country still doesn’t have major novel drugs of its own. Also, a lot of biotech innovation in China still doesn’t include groundbreaking Tencent little new mechanisms of treatment, or so-called first-in-class therapies.
“They’re still repeating hard-core innovations done by Western scientists in a more efficient or better way,” Jonathan Wang, cofounder of the Asia fund at OrbiMed Advisors. In the earlier stages of their research, which are often kept secret, Wang said more Chinese companies are working on first-in-class treatments.
For now, Gordon said his firm had only a small amount of money invested in Chinese companies. He thinks the industry is maturing quickly, though.
“It’s still in its earlier stages,” Gordon said. “I don’t think they will have the ecosystem that the U.S. has for another 10 or 15 years. But I think in the next five or seven years, if you’re a biotech investor, you’re not going to be able to ignore companies coming out of China anymore.”
Still, Oyler is among those who acknowledge the risks of an emerging biotech industry: When things don’t go well, investors unfamiliar with the complexities of drug development tend to flee and leave companies strapped for money.
Meanwhile, though, more money is likely to flow into China’s biotech sector. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is starting to allow unprofitable biotech companies to list. Debra Yu, head of U.S. cross-border health care investment banking for China Renaissance, predicts that will bring new investors, including some from the U.S., into the industry.
“I believe in five to 10 years, several global blockbusters that benefit people around the world will come from China,” said Wu Xiaobin, BeiGene’s China head and former country manager at Pfizer China. “I don’t know which companies, but they will be Chinese.”