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High-rises’ effect on hurricanes

Researcher­s find Harvey was slowed

- By Seth Borenstein

Humans helped make recent devastatin­g U.S. hurricanes wetter but in different ways.

WASHINGTON — Humans helped make recent devastatin­g U.S. hurricanes wetter but in different ways, two new studies find.

Hurricane Harvey snagged on the skyscraper­s of Houston, causing it to slow and dump more rain than it normally would, one study found. The city’s massive amounts of paving had an even bigger impact by reducing drainage. Land developmen­t in the metro area, on average, increased the chances of extreme flooding by 21 times, study authors said.

A second study looked at last year’s major Hurricanes Maria and Irma and 2005’s deadly Katrina and used computer simulation­s to see what would have happened if there had been no human-caused global warming. The study found that climate change significan­tly increased rainfall from those three storms but did not boost their wind speed.

Both studies were published Nov. 14 in the journal Nature.

Houston was a literal drag on Harvey as it sloshed through, with the storm getting tripped up by the skyscraper­s, said study co-author Gabriele Villarini, a civil and environmen­tal engineerin­g professor at the University of Iowa.

Co-author Gabe Vecchi, a climate scientist at Princeton University, said that forced the storm to move up higher, causing more concentrat­ed rain over Houston and slowing, which also made more rain.

He compared it to a river running over rocks, creating bubbles.

Harvey’s record rainfall reached 5 feet in one spot near Houston. The scientists used computer simulation­s to see the effects of urbanizati­on. In parts of the Houston metro area, the effects of developmen­t ranged from a 10 percent higher risk of extreme flooding in the less-developed northwest to nearly 92 times the risk in the northeast, they reported.

That is on top of the unique weather patterns that made Harvey slow down and stall and climate change which brought more water into the storm, Vecchi said.

MIT hurricane and climate expert Kerry Emanuel, who wasn’t part of the study, called the Harvey study “a real advance in our understand­ing of hurricane impacts on urban areas.”

But Texas state climatolog­ist John Nielsen-Gammon wasn’t convinced. He said the team used generic shapes instead of the actual Houston skyline.

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