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Diplomats brace for the unknown and fear foreign policy changes may produce instabilit­y.

Experts fear Trump could worsen things

- By Tracy Wilkinson Washington Bureau tracy.wilkinson@latimes.com

WASHINGTON — At foreign embassies across Washington, envoys say they are bracing for the unknown when Presidente­lect Donald Trump is sworn into office Friday and starts issuing orders.

In capitals around the globe, leaders and foreign policy experts worry that Trump’s calls for radical change could produce instabilit­y or worse in a global crisis.

They are confused by his provocativ­e tweets and worry that he may upend long-held alliances, treaties and internatio­nal organizati­ons.

From the Mexico to China, rarely before has an incoming U.S. president so discombobu­lated the rest of the world, allies and adversarie­s alike.

Last weekend, Trump gave interviews to two newspapers, one British and one German, in which he said he was indifferen­t to the fate of the European Union political and trading bloc, and argued that the NATO military alliance, the bedrock of European security since World War II, is obsolete.

Both have been pillars of trans-Atlantic cooperatio­n for decades and helped produce peace and prosperity in Europe and in the United States.

“We just don’t know,” is how one Washington-based envoy said his embassy usually explains Trump’s comments and tweets in cables back home.

The diplomat was not authorized to speak publicly about U.S. politics.

It hasn’t helped that many of Trump’s designated Cabinet members, especially his choices for Defense and State, as well as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, distanced themselves from Trump on the threat from Russia, the future of NATO, the need to keep the Iran nuclear deal, the danger of global warming and other issues.

Europeans, in particular, are nervous about Trump’s repeated praise for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is widely viewed with alarm for sending his troops into Ukraine and up against NATO’s borders, and for trying to interfere with Western elections.

Allies also have yet to get clarity about Trump’s comments last year suggesting that Japan, South Korea and other nations should build nuclear weapons for their own defense, a policy that would end decades of U.S. non-proliferat­ion efforts.

If Trump’s signals are mixed and fuzzy, the consequenc­es are coming into focus.

After he called German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s decision to admit thousands of Syrian refugees a “catastroph­ic mistake,” she said it was clear Europe had to think about going it alone, or at least without the United States as a reliable partner.

Merkels’ French colleague, President Francois Hollande, echoed her.

“Europe will be ready to pursue trans-Atlantic cooperatio­n, but it will based on its interests and values,” Hollande said. “It does not need outside advice to tell it what to do.”

The French minister of foreign affairs, Jean-Marc Ayrault, went further, challengin­g Trump’s eagerness to champion Britain’s decision to withdraw from the European Union and his open cheer leading for the EU to dissolve.

“The best response is European unity,” Ayrault said. “The best way to defend Europe is to remain united. This is a bit of an invitation that we are making to Mr. Trump. To remain a bloc. Not to forget that the force of Europeans is in their unity.”

China also has had trouble making out what Trump intends.

But Beijing has wasted no time in flexing its own muscles.

In another sign of a new world order, Chinese President Xi Jinping became the poster child for free trade at this week’s annual meeting of the world’s top entreprene­urs, political leaders and other jet-setters in Davos, Switzerlan­d.

Xi assumed a role that normally would have gone to an American — a void left, some say, by Trump’s allover-the-map declaratio­ns about ripping up trade agreements and challengin­g China’s currency and economic policies.

Trump acts “stunningly confident in his ostensible knowledge of the job, though he speaks like a rookie,” said the People’s Daily, China’s Communist Party daily.

In an unusual move, three foreign ambassador­s took part in a live radio program Thursday in Washington to discuss their government’s dealings with the incoming administra­tion.

David O’Sullivan, the European Union envoy, was in the most difficult spot.

He said he expected Trump eventually will become aware of the critical relationsh­ip between Washington and the 28nation continenta­l bloc.

“If we don’t get it right, there will be huge consequenc­es for us all,” he added.

 ?? MICHEL EULER/AP ?? China’s Xi Jinping took the lead on free trade at the World Economic Forum in Switzerlan­d.
MICHEL EULER/AP China’s Xi Jinping took the lead on free trade at the World Economic Forum in Switzerlan­d.

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