Texarkana Gazette

Americans spent slightly more at retail stores last month

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WASHINGTON—Americans spent only slightly more last month at retail stores compared with January, a sign of consumer caution despite rising optimism about the economy. The Commerce Department said Wednesday retail sales ticked up a seasonally adjusted 0.1 percent in February, after a much bigger gain of 0.6 percent the previous month. January’s gain was revised higher. The figures suggest that strong job gains this year, near record-high stock prices and decent pay gains haven’t yet lifted spending. But last month’s sluggish pace could prove temporary.

Economists note that spending was likely held back by delays in tax refund payments. A new law has required tougher scrutiny of a tax credit claimed by lower-income taxpayers. Wal-Mart said last month that the delay had slowed sales at its stores in February. Other retailers have reported similar concerns. Yet tax refunds have started to flow this month, which could trigger a rebound.

Economists were also encouraged by the upward revisions to January’s sales data, which point to potentiall­y faster growth in the first three months of the year.

A separate report showed inflation rose in February and is now comfortabl­y above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2 percent. The Fed is expected to announce its third rate hike in 15 months later today.

Sales rose in February at furniture stores and home and garden centers. But they fell sharply at electronic­s and appliance stores.

Sales also fell at gasoline stations, though that mostly reflects lower prices. Clothing stores, sporting goods retailers and department stores also all reported lower sales.

There are several additional factors that could drive spending higher in the months ahead. Consumer confidence soared to its highest level in more than 15 years in February, according to the Conference Board, a business research group.

Hiring and average hourly pay growth have picked up since the new year. Americans’ finances are in better shape, with average home prices back to their pre-recession levels in much of the country.

Yet the boost in confidence may not be broadly shared. That could limit any spending that might result. For Americans younger than age 35, who are less likely than older age groups to own a home or stocks, confidence actually fell last month. And the consumer confidence data has grown increasing­ly political in recent years, with Republican­s reporting much greater optimism than Democrats. That reverses a pattern that emerged under former President Obama.

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