Texarkana Gazette

Less stressful time for stress tests

- By Tom Hudson ABOUT THE WRITER Financial journalist Tom Hudson hosts “The Sunshine Economy” on WLRN-FM in Miami, where he is the vice president of news. He is the former co-anchor and managing editor of “Nightly Business Report” on public television. Fol

For seven years, America’s biggest banks have undergone annual financial stress tests, with at least one bank failing to make the grade each cycle. That streak likely will end in the week ahead.

Financial reforms put in place after the near-collapse of the banking system during the Great Recession require the Federal Reserve to assess the ability of banks to survive tough economic times.

The central bank tests the wherewitha­l of banks to withstand unemployme­nt spiking to 10 percent, home prices falling more than 20 percent, commercial real estate dropping more than 30 percent and the Dow Jones industrial average plummeting 42 percent.

Those are among the assumption­s making up what’s called the stress test’s “severely adverse scenario.”

The results come in two phases, and the one directly impacting bank shareholde­rs is due Wednesday.

The Comprehens­ive Capital Analysis and Review is the bureaucrat­ic name for the report that decides if banks can increase dividends, buy back stock or buy a competitor.

It’s estimated that the banks subject to this examinatio­n have $150 billion waiting to be deployed assuming they get a healthy checkup from the Fed.

A buoyant financial sector has helped these 34 big banks become better suited to ride out an economic storm. But these annual report cards may become less stressful and less frequent.

A Treasury Department review of the financial system ordered by President Donald Trump recommends applying the stress tests to only the biggest of the big banks, conducting the test once every two years instead of every year, and allowing regulators to consider changes to a bank’s stock dividend or stock buyback plans even if it fails the test.

While these suggested changes may make bank stress tests less stressful, they won’t eradicate risk.

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