Texarkana Gazette

Renewed jitters over trade send stocks, bond yields lower

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Stocks tanked Tuesday as the goodwill generated by a truce between the U.S. and China over trade evaporated over confusion about what the two sides had actually agreed upon.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 800 points. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note declined to its lowest level in three months, a signal that the bond market is worried about long-term economic growth.

The sell-off short-circuited a recent rally on Wall Street. The market gained Monday after the Trump administra­tion said U.S. and China agreed to a temporary cease-fire in a trade dispute. Last week, stocks jumped when the Federal Reserve’s chairman indicated the central bank could slow the pace of interest rate increases.

On Tuesday, investors’ confidence in the U.S.-China agreement faltered after a series of confusing and conflictin­g words from President Donald Trump and some senior officials. That contribute­d to renewed fears that the disagreeme­nt between the two economic powerhouse­s could slow the global economy.

Technology companies, banks and industrial stocks accounted for much of the broad sell-off. Utilities stocks rose. Smaller-company stocks fell more than the rest of the market.

The bond market signaled its concerns as the gap between twoyear and 10-year Treasurys reached its narrowest difference since 2007. The 10-year yield is still higher, but not by much.

When yields for long-term bonds drop lower than yields for shortterm bonds, it’s what economists call an “inverted yield curve.” It indicates that investors are forecastin­g a weaker economy and inflation in coming years. An inverted yield curve has also preceded each recession of the last 60 years, though sometimes by more than a year.

The S&P 500 index slid 90.31 points, or 3.2 percent, to 2,700.06. The Dow plunged 799.36 points, or 3.1 percent, to 25,027.07, more than erasing its 488-point gain over the previous two trading days. It was down as much as 818 points earlier.

The technology-heavy Nasdaq composite lost 283.09 points, or 3.8 percent, to 7,158.43.

Small-company stocks, which investors see as more risky than large multinatio­nals, fell more than the rest of the market. The Russell 2000 index gave up 68.21 points, or 4.4 percent, to 1,480.75.

The sell-off came ahead of Wednesday’s closure of U.S. stock and bond markets in observance of a national day of mourning for former President George H.W. Bush.

The stunning turn in the markets followed a strong rally on Monday fueled by optimism over the news that President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpar­t Xi Jinping had agreed at the G-20 summit over the weekend to a temporary, 90-day stand-down in the two nations’ escalating trade dispute. That optimism quickly faded as skepticism grew that Beijing will yield to U.S. demands anytime soon.

Oil prices rose. OPEC members are expected to agree at a Thursday meeting to cut output in 2019. Benchmark U.S. crude gained 0.6 percent to settle at $53.25 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, the internatio­nal standard, added 0.6 percent to close at $62.08 per barrel in London.

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