The Arizona Republic

Monsoon in the making?

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- Audrey Jensen

The National Weather Service says the Valley could see showers and thundersto­rms by Wednesday.

Could Phoenix finally see a taste of the monsoon this week?

According to the National Weather Service in Phoenix, some rain could finally be in the cards for the Valley after a few more days of heat.

Chances for thundersto­rms and cooler temperatur­es remain slim until later this week, after Phoenix residents endure another excessive heat warning on Sunday.

Temperatur­es were forecast to reach a high of 113 degrees in Phoenix on Sunday with little chance of moisture.

But James Sawtelle, a meteorolog­ist with the National Weather Service in Phoenix, said the chances of rain showers and thundersto­rms could increase to a 10% to 20% chance by Wednesday.

From Wednesday through next weekend, Phoenix will see increased chances for showers, isolated thundersto­rms and a potential for an increase in moisture to the area, including lower temperatur­es, Sawtelle said.

Temperatur­es will start cooling down Wednesday to about 102 to 104 degrees. Today and Tuesday will remain about 109 degrees.

Last year, Phoenix Sky Harbor Internatio­nal Airport saw a trace of rain on July 22 and .13 inches on July 30, according to a National Weather ServicePho­enix tweet.

Similar to 2019, this year’s monsoon onset was slow in Phoenix due to issues with gulf surges, which Sawtelle described as low-level moisture jets originatin­g out of the Gulf of California.

“They haven’t had enough depth to moisten the Arizona deserts well enough,” Sawtelle said. “So that may be related to the sea surface temperatur­es and the Gulf of California not being quite warm enough.”

Saturday was also the 97th consecutiv­e day without measurable rain in Phoenix, according to a National Weather Service-Phoenix tweet.

Before Wednesday, the best chance for thundersto­rms in Arizona will be east and northeast of Phoenix as well as areas south, southwest and southeast of Phoenix, Sawtelle said.

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