Monsoon in the making?
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The National Weather Service says the Valley could see showers and thunderstorms by Wednesday.
Could Phoenix finally see a taste of the monsoon this week?
According to the National Weather Service in Phoenix, some rain could finally be in the cards for the Valley after a few more days of heat.
Chances for thunderstorms and cooler temperatures remain slim until later this week, after Phoenix residents endure another excessive heat warning on Sunday.
Temperatures were forecast to reach a high of 113 degrees in Phoenix on Sunday with little chance of moisture.
But James Sawtelle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Phoenix, said the chances of rain showers and thunderstorms could increase to a 10% to 20% chance by Wednesday.
From Wednesday through next weekend, Phoenix will see increased chances for showers, isolated thunderstorms and a potential for an increase in moisture to the area, including lower temperatures, Sawtelle said.
Temperatures will start cooling down Wednesday to about 102 to 104 degrees. Today and Tuesday will remain about 109 degrees.
Last year, Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport saw a trace of rain on July 22 and .13 inches on July 30, according to a National Weather ServicePhoenix tweet.
Similar to 2019, this year’s monsoon onset was slow in Phoenix due to issues with gulf surges, which Sawtelle described as low-level moisture jets originating out of the Gulf of California.
“They haven’t had enough depth to moisten the Arizona deserts well enough,” Sawtelle said. “So that may be related to the sea surface temperatures and the Gulf of California not being quite warm enough.”
Saturday was also the 97th consecutive day without measurable rain in Phoenix, according to a National Weather Service-Phoenix tweet.
Before Wednesday, the best chance for thunderstorms in Arizona will be east and northeast of Phoenix as well as areas south, southwest and southeast of Phoenix, Sawtelle said.