The Arizona Republic

Poll: 32% skeptical of vaccine

Many concerned over safety, effectiven­ess

- Mike Stobbe and Hannah Fingerhut

About 1 in 3 Americans say they definitely or probably won’t get the COVID-19 vaccine, according to a new poll that some experts say is discouragi­ng news if the U.S. hopes to achieve herd immunity and vanquish the outbreak.

The poll from The Associated PressNORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that while 67% of Americans plan to get vaccinated or have already done so, 15% are certain they won’t and 17% say probably not. Many expressed doubts about the vaccine’s safety and effectiven­ess. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the leading federal infectious­disease scientist, estimates between 70% and 85% of the U.S. population needs to get inoculated to stop the virus.

NEW YORK – About 1 in 3 Americans say they definitely or probably won’t get the COVID-19 vaccine, according to a new poll that some experts say is discouragi­ng news if the U.S. hopes to achieve herd immunity and vanquish the outbreak.

The poll from The Associated PressNORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that while 67% of Americans plan to get vaccinated or have already done so, 15% are certain they won’t and 17% say probably not. Many expressed doubts about the vaccine’s safety and effectiven­ess.

The poll suggests that substantia­l skepticism persists more than a month and a half into a U.S. vaccinatio­n drive that has encountere­d few if any serious side effects. It found that resistance runs higher among younger people, people without college degrees, Black Americans and Republican­s.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the government’s leading infectious-disease scientist, has estimated that somewhere between 70% and 85% of the U.S. population needs to get inoculated to stop the scourge that has killed close to 470,000 Americans. More recently, he said the spread of more contagious variants of the virus increases the need for more people to get their shots – and quickly. So is 67% of Americans enough? “No. No, no, no, no,” said William Hanage, a Harvard University expert on disease dynamics. He added: “You’re going to need to get quite large proportion­s of the population vaccinated before you see a real effect.”

About 33.8 million Americans, or 10% of the population, have received at least one dose, and 10.5 million have been fully vaccinated, according to the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention.

The poll provides insight into the skepticism.

Of those who said they definitely will not get the vaccine, 65% cited worries about side effects, despite the shots’ safety record over the past months.

Of those who probably will not get the vaccine but have not ruled it out completely, 63% said they are waiting to see if it is safe, and 60% said they are concerned about possible side effects.

Health officials are trying to counter concerns about the vaccine with science.

The latest evidence indicates that the two vaccines being used in the U.S. – Pfizer’s and Moderna’s – are effective even against the variants, Fauci said.

“Safety certainly was not compromise­d, nor was scientific integrity compromise­d,” Fauci said. “Many have reason for skepticism. But I think that when you explain the facts and the data to them, you can win them over.”

The AP-NORC poll of 1,055 adults was conducted Jan. 28-Feb. 1 using a sample drawn from NORC’s probabilit­y-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representa­tive of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for all respondent­s is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

 ?? TED S. WARREN/AP FILE ?? A poll suggests that substantia­l skepticism persists more than a month and a half into a U.S. COVID-19 vaccinatio­n drive.
TED S. WARREN/AP FILE A poll suggests that substantia­l skepticism persists more than a month and a half into a U.S. COVID-19 vaccinatio­n drive.

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