The Arizona Republic

Global sea level may rise up to 9 inches by 2100

- Jordan Mendoza

Greenland’s ice sheet, the biggest ice sheet in the world behind Antarctica, has melted so much in the past decade that global sea levels rose by 1 centimeter, and sea levels could rise nearly a foot higher by the end of the century.

Research published in the journal Nature Communicat­ions on Monday says 3.5 trillion tons of Greenland’s ice sheet melted from 2011 to 2020, which would be enough to flood all of New York City in 14,700 feet of water.

The ice sheet covers more than 656,000 square miles, and if it were to fully melt, the global sea level would rise about 20 feet,according to the National Snow and Ice Date Center. While much of the ice sheet remains intact, researcher­s from the University of Leeds Centre for Polar Observatio­n and Modelling in Northern England found it is melting at an exceptiona­l rate, increasing 21% in the past 40 years.

“Observatio­ns show that extreme melt events in Greenland have become more frequent and more intense – as well as more erratic – which is a global problem,” Lin Gilbert, co-author of the study, said in a statement.

The team used satellite data from the European Space Agency to estimate the elevation of the ice sheet, the first time a space object has been used to do so. The team found that from 2011 to 2020, the runoff of Greenland’s ice sheet averaged about 357 billion tons a year.

That would, on average, raise the global sea level about 1 millimeter a year, but during that time, two years – 2012 and 2019 – experience­d exceptiona­lly more runoff than others as extreme weather led to, “record-breaking levels of ice melting.” In 2019, the runoff was about 527 billion tons.

The National Snow and Ice Date Center said the sheet’s summer melt increased by 30% from 1979 to 2006 because of higher temperatur­es.

“Greenland is also vulnerable to an increase in extreme weather events,” said lead author Thomas Slater.

Slater’s colleague and co-author, Amber Leeson, said that by 2100, the global sea level can rise anywhere from 1 to 9 inches because of melting, which could be dangerous to coastal cities around the world.

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