The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Scientists: Paris accord won’t halt warming

- By Seth Borenstein

WASHINGTON — A team of top scientists is telling world leaders to stop congratula­ting themselves on the Paris agreement to fight climate change because if more isn’t done, global temperatur­es will likely hit dangerous warming levels in about 35 years.

Six scientists who were leaders in past internatio­nal climate conference­s joined with the Universal Ecological Fund in Argentina to release a brief report Thursday, saying that if even more cuts in heat-trapping gases aren’t agreed upon soon, the world will warm by another 1.8 degrees by around 2050.

That 1.8 degree mark is key because in 2009 world leaders agreed that they wanted to avoid warming of 3.6 degrees above pre-industrial levels. Temperatur­es have already risen about 1.8 degrees, so that 3.6-degree goal is really about preventing a rise of another 1.8 degrees.

Examining the carbon pollution cuts and curbs promised by 190 nations in an agreement made in Paris last December, the scientists said it’s simply not enough.

“The pledges are not going to get even close,” said report lead author Sir Robert Watson, a University of East Anglia professor who used to be chairman of the United Nations’ Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change.

If carbon pollution continues with just the emission cuts pledged in Paris, Earth will likely hit the danger mark by 2050, Watson and colleagues calculated.

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