The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

It’s start winning, or start dealing

Next month likely will decide if Braves can win with these players.

- Jeff Schultz

The Braves are one-third of the way through the season and, maybe more important, they are less than seven weeks from the trade deadline.

The time frame is important to point out because they just opened a stretch that will see them play 18 of the next 21 games at home, beginning with four against the Philadelph­ia Phillies, who aren’t so much an opponent as they are a needed comedic interlude.

It might’ve been a perfect setup for the Braves if not for the unfortunat­e timing of Monday’s game coinciding with Bartolo Colon’s turn in the rotation. Colon, who began the night with the worst earnedrun average (6.99) among major league starters, allowed three runs on a single, double and home run in succession in the first inning.

He gave up another run-scoring double in the third to make it 4-0 for the Phillies. The Phillies!

Bartolo Colon man doesn’t spark winning streaks. He looks for angels toting good vibes and steps on their souls.

But back to the Braves and where they may be headed: It’s dangerous to make absolute statements about a baseball team in early June. But I believe the odds are with me on this: The Braves are likely to have their season defined over

these next few weeks.

They were 24-30 to open the homestand. They likely need to win at least four of these next six series — four of the six opponents have losing records — to stay within a hint of the wild card race. Otherwise this thing realistica­lly will be over before Freddie Freeman returns from a broken wrist in late July.

“I won’t say it’s going to define our season, but it’s going to define what kind of team we are, what kind of players we have” second baseman Brandon Phillips said. “I feel like this month is really going to surprise a lot of people or ...” Long pause. “… The other way.” About the other way: That was the way to be. The Braves were projected in sports books to lose 90 games. They began the home stand on pace to lose 90 games. Pretty close.

The front office needs to make a decision on where they believe this team is headed before Freeman’s return because it impacts the future. The non-waiver trade deadline is July 21. Freeman likely won’t be back until at least a week later. You see the problem.

If there’s a strong belief that the Braves will not scramble back into the National League wildcard race — and they were closer to the last-place Phillies (5 games) than No. 2 Arizona (7½ games) to start the week — management might as well blow it up. Relatively speaking. Again.

There are at least eight veterans who are candidates to be traded, including the remains of Colon. He signed a one-year $12.5 million contract. He will be an unrestrict­ed free agent after the season. That assumes he won’t be an unrestrict­ed free agent in five minutes.

The New York Mets could be convinced that bringing back Colon might revive him. But they’re the Mets. They live for expensive coin flips.

Here are seven other players who could be traded (which is to not suggest they all will go). In order of salary:

■ Outfielder Matt Kemp ($21.5 million per year through 2019, with $18 million annually being paid by the Braves): Kemp has revived his career in Atlanta, hitting .306 with 22 home runs in 100 games, and has provided protection for Freeman. But committing up to $48 million to one player for a team that may not contend for a title over the next 2½ seasons could be tough.

■ Second baseman Brandon Phillips ($14 million; Braves paying only $1 million): He’ll be a free agent after the season and won’t be re-signed. The fact he went to high school in Stone Mountain and has a no-trade clause with a $500,000 kicker if he does accept a deal could make a trade problemati­c.

■ Pitcher Jaime Garcia ($12 million): He has been the Braves’ most consistent starter (3.18 ERA) and he’s an unrestrict­ed free agent after the season. The market for him will be significan­t.

■ Outfielder Nick Markakis ($10.5 million this season, same in 2018): He’s hitting .283, has been a productive player and has value in the trade market.

■ Pitcher Julio Teheran ($6.3 million this season, signed through 2020): He has been huge disappoint­ment this season (5.40 ERA, staff-high 14 homers allowed), but the Braves would be dealing him when his trade stock is low. He’s only 26 years old and the team could get burned down the line if he bounces back.

■ Reliever Jim Johnson ($4.5 million this season, same in 2018): He’s the team’s closer but is expendable and an attractive bullpen option for any contender.

■ First baseman Matt Adams ($2.8 million): He was acquired as a stopgap for Freeman and he has shown great power but he struggles in the outfield defensivel­y and he’s headed for a raise in arbitratio­n. He’s a perfect fit for an American League team.

So the Braves may be a popular team before the trade deadline. Just not the way any Atlanta fan would have preferred.

‘I won’t say it’s going to define our season, but (this month is) going to define what kind of team we are …’

Brandon Phillips Braves second baseman

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