The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Tech should thrive — or at least win by 3 — against South Florida
Saturday’s game between Georgia Tech vs. South Florida features a stubborn coach who must be dragged kicking and screaming into the modern era of offensive football.
And don’t even get me started on Paul Johnson.
Charlie Strong tried playing his style of football at Texas — sound on defense, slow pace and field position on offense — and it did not go well. Eventually he hired Sterlin Gilbert to run a high-tempo, spread offense inspired by Art Briles. The offense improved, but the defense, Strong’s specialty, faltered.
Strong was fired by Texas after the 2016 season and took Gilbert along to South Florida. The school is in Tampa, which makes no sense geographically but is advantageous in terms of recruiting. Strong has always been good at that, and Willie Taggart left behind some talent when he bolted for Oregon.
South Florida went 10-2 last season while playing well on offense and defense. The problem for the 2018 Bulls is that most of the good players from that team are gone. The problem for the Bulls against Tech is that two of those players
were defensive tackles who now are in the NFL, including the Falcons’ third-round pick Deadrin Senat.
Johnson’s offense is apt to do what it wants against opponents that are soft up the middle. I picked the Jackets to win seven games (which, based on my Week 1 picks, means they probably are due for a collapse). I saw this as a toss-up game for the Jackets, who are favored by 3½ points. I say the coin lands in favor of Tech’s oldschool offense.
Jackets win by a field goal.
Game of the Week
Georgia (-10) at South Carolina
This game highlights one of the bigger debates in college football: Is it possible for a coach to wear a visor and still seem likeable? Georgia’s Kirby Smart sort of pulls it off, but he’s just started winning. Will Muschamp is 44-32 as a head coach, and that visor just isn’t helping.
I’m less bothered by Muschamp’s fashion choice than his insistence on playing a slow style of football that even Strong abandoned. It’s an underdog strategy, and Muschamp’s Gamecocks have won seven of 16 games against favorites, but maybe they could do more if they took a chance every now and then.
It seems some people are trying to build up the Gamecocks into a serious threat to Georgia in the SEC East. I just can’t see it, even if I put on a visor and squint. Georgia covers.
SEC games of interest
Kentucky (plus 14) at Florida
Last season Kentucky lost to Florida for the 31st consecutive time after leading by 14 points in the fourth quarter at home. Take the Gators and give the points.
Wyoming (plus 18.5) at Missouri
Derek Dooley, Vince’s son, is Mizzou’s new offensive coordinator. Dooley recently said he just can’t understand why people still bring up that time he was fired as Tennessee head coach way back in 2012. I want to pick against Missouri just for that, but Wyoming’s defense already was shredded by Washington State. Tigers cover.
Nevada (plus 9.5) at Vanderbilt
Remember when Vanderbilt hired Derek Mason away from Stanford and it seemed like a coup, with everyone wondering why one of the top assistants in the country would take that gig? That was four seasons and 31 losses ago. Nevada covers.
Mississippi State (minus 9) at Kansas State
Mississippi State coach Joe Moorehead’s offense was as good as advertised in its debut against Stephen F. Austin, and that was with backup QB Keytaon Thompson. The competition stiffens, but QB Nick Fitzgerald returns from suspension and the Bulldogs cover.
ACC games of interest
Clemson (minus 12) at Texas A&M
At least Jimbo Fisher got away from Dabo Swinney when he took the Texas A&M job and ... oh, no, look at this. I’m sure Fisher will find things easier in the SEC West while carrying the weight of his huge contract. Aggies lose but have enough defense to keep it close and cover.
Duke (plus 2.5) at Northwestern
David Cutcliffe is in his 11th season as Duke’s coach. Like Paul Johnson, he’s managed to win a few games at an ACC school with relatively rigorous academics. Unlike Johnson, he’s got an elite basketball program as a distraction when he doesn’t win many. Northwestern uses stout defense to cover.
Other games of interest
USC (plus 6) at Stanford
USC’s coach is Clay Helton, who was the interim coach when Steve Sarkisian took a leave of absence and was eventually fired, thus clearing the way for Sarkisian to one day make the Falcons look ordinary on offense. Helton’s Trojans looked good with the ball against UNLV in Week 1, and Stanford doesn’t have the defense to stop them. Trojans cover.
Michigan State (minus 6) at Arizona State
At his bizarre introductory news conference last winter, Arizona State coach Herm Edwards did everything possible to reinforce the perception that he would be in semi-retirement. Maybe he’s just trolling us, though, because the Sun Devils looked great while thrashing Texas-San Antonio last week. Now they cover as a home dog.
Last week’s picks
ATS: 4-5-1 (4-5-1 season)
Pick ’em contest (straight up): 6-9 (6-9 season)
Congratulations to Julie Ronchetti of Lilburn, the local winner in Week 1 of the AJC pick ’em. Ronchetti picked the winner in 12 of 15 games.