The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Europe’s new central bank chief faces slow growth, dissent

- By David McHugh

FRANKFURT, GERMANY — Draghi took over as head of the European Central Bank eight years ago amid market speculatio­n that the euro currency union might break up. Christine Lagarde succeeds him with more breathing room but facing serious

— challenges from a weak economy, policy difference­s among her own officials and questions about how much more central banks can do to help.

Analysts do not expect Lagarde to announce any changes in the bank’s interest rates and bond-purchase stimulus program when she holds her first rate-setting meeting and news conference Thursday. The bank enacted a stimulus package in September to nudge the economy along in the face of headwinds like the U.S.-China trade conflict and Britain’s departure from the European Union.

It’s the first chance to hear how Lagarde communicat­es with markets and the public, a chief task for the head of an institutio­n that affects the lives of 342 million people in the 19 countries that use the euro. That is

not an easy task; the bank’s policy to keep one of its key interest rates below zero has come under criticism from Germany news media as penalizing savers, while any imprecise remark from Lagarde can set off big market movements.

Lagarde may “err on the side of caution and continuity” at first, said Frederik Ducrozet, senior European economist at Pictet Wealth Management. That would be a contrast to Draghi’s first meeting in 2011 when the bank cut interest rates during a debt crisis that threatened to break up the currency union.

Lagarde’s challenges include managing dissent within the ECB over stimulus policy after a minority of governing council members openly criticized the stimulus package that was decided at Draghi’s next-tolast meeting. That job may be supported by Lagarde’s extensive political experience from serving as head of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund and before that as French finance minister.

She has said the bank will pursue a review of how it defines its inflation goal and also look at whether the bank’s measures could support efforts to fight climate change. Currently, the bank defines its mission as having annual inflation of “below, but close to, 2%.” One reason for the review is that the bank — like other central banks — has struggled to raise inflation to levels that are considered healthier for the economy despite massive stimulus involving pumping newly created money into the economy. Inflation was an annual 1.0% in November. The eurozone economy grew only 0.2% in the third quarter.

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