The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

AJC poll: Let voters decide about Trump

About 57% in Georgia disapprove of removal by impeachmen­t.

- By Tia Mitchell tia.mitchell@ajc.com and Greg Bluestein gbluestein@ajc.com

A majority of Georgia voters oppose removing President Donald Trump from office as a result of impeachmen­t, according to an exclusive Atlanta Journal-Constituti­on poll released as a historic trial gets underway in the U.S. Senate.

The poll of 1,025 registered Georgia voters shows the state’s

electorate remains divided over t he Democratic-led push to

impeach Trump, which enters a new phase of fraught debate and bitter legal wrangling as the Senate readies to hear testimony. Half of Georgia voters say the president has not committed an impeachabl­e offense; 45% say he has.

But it found voters were far more settled about whether Trump should be sent packing at the trial’s end. About 57% of respondent­s said voters should decide his fate in the 2020 election, including a majority of independen­ts and roughly one-quarter of Democrats.

“It’s a sham — a colossal waste of time,” said Michael Morris, an IT technician from Bonaire. “It’s a witch hunt trying to take the public’s attention away from more important things.”

Others are bracing for what’s poised to be an unpredicta­ble — and potentiall­y explosive — trial. Laurie Behn, a Democrat who lives in Druid Hills, wants the Senate to consider all the evidence — including calling witnesses to testify, which is an uncertain prospect.

“I do not believe they should go in and shortchang­e the process,” she said. “They need to hear what witnesses have to say.”

The poll, conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and Internatio­nal Affairs, underscore­d the sharp degree of polarizati­on around Trump and the complicate­d politics that’s shaped the public debate over whether he should be removed from office.

Though Trump is likely to be acquitted in the Republican-controlled Senate, Democrats hope to press their case to the American public about removing a president they say pressured Ukraine to investigat­e his political rivals in exchange for military assistance and a White House meeting.

The survey was conducted Jan. 6-15 and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

‘A joke’

Even as a divisive trial approached, the president’s fortunes appeared to steady in Georgia, a top 2020 battlegrou­nd for Democrats hoping to capture the state for the first time since 1992. About 51% of voters approve of his job performanc­e, including one-third of voters who say they “strongly” back him.

The last AJC poll, conducted in November, found about 54% of registered Georgia voters disapprove­d of his record while 44% approved.

Since that survey, UGA has made a change to its polling methodolog­y to ensure the survey more closely reflects Georgia’s demographi­cs, particular­ly when it comes to the level of education of poll respondent­s. That makes it more difficult to compare these findings with previous polls.

Trump’s base of support can’t get much more polarized: He has overwhelmi­ng backing from Republican­s — 93% — and about the same proportion of Democrats disapprove of his performanc­e since his 2016 election. Most independen­ts — 56% — say he isn’t doing a good job.

A smaller number — 44% of all voters polled — say they “definitely” plan to vote for Trump in November, while 47% will “definitely” vote against him. About 8% didn’t know or wouldn’t answer.

Connie Peacock, a Grantville sales executive, epitomizes the divide over Trump. On the one hand, she said, the economy is strong and his foreign policy has given the U.S. more confidence. On the other, she added, his rhetoric and behavior conflict with how a leader should act.

“Some of his behavior is not presidenti­al,” she said, “but as a whole, I do have a favorable opinion of the country under his leadership.”

To his critics, Trump remains a stain on the presidency. Natalie Steinborn, a Bremen retiree, described him as an “all-arounddirt­y guy.” And Ashley Bruce of Covington called him “mentally unstable” and said she believes he should be removed from office — but she also sees the impeachmen­t trial as an exercise in futility.

“It’s a joke,” said Bruce, a patient care technician. “The Republican­s know what’s he capable of doing and what he’s done. They’re going to back him just because he’s a Republican. The check and balance isn’t applying as it’s supposed to be.”

‘A chance’

Georgia Democrats are torn over the top potential contenders to replace him. About two-thirds of Democrats have favorable opinions of former Vice President Joe Biden and U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

Another candidate, Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana, had a lower profile. About 41% of Democrats had a positive opinion of him, the lowest of the four candidates in the AJC survey. Roughly one-third of Democrats didn’t have an opinion or didn’t say.

And among African Americans, an all-important Democratic voting bloc in Georgia, only 28% had a favorable opinion of Buttigieg.

A year after his tight election victory, Gov. Brian Kemp is shoring up support. About 60% of registered voters approve of his job performanc­e, including one-quarter who “strongly” support him. About 55% see him in a favorable light, a vast improvemen­t from previous polls that showed him well under the halfway mark.

U.S. Sen. David Perdue, too, appears to be on solid footing as he runs for a second term in November. A slim majority of voters — 51% — approve of the former Fortune 500 executive’s job performanc­e, while about 28% of voters disapprove. One-fifth of voters don’t know or won’t say.

The state’s other Senate race is murkier. Only one-quarter of Georgia voters have a favorable impression of new U.S. Sen. Kelly Loeffler, a Republican political newcomer tapped by Kemp for the seat in December. The ballot won’t be settled for some time. Two Democrats have already entered the race and more are expected, and one or more Republican­s could also join the field.

Roughly 20% of voters have an unfavorabl­e impression of Loeffler, a wealthy former financial executive who was sworn into office two weeks ago, and 57% don’t have an opinion or didn’t answer. Some 60% of Republican­s say the jury is still out.

“We have to give this lady a chance,” said Winder resident

Greg Epperson, who counts himself among the voters who know little about Loeffler. “Just because President Trump wanted it, that doesn’t necessaril­y happen. That decision to make was Brian Kemp’s.”

The governor’s decision upset many grassroots conservati­ves who have encouraged U.S. Rep. Doug Collins, a Gainesvill­e Republican whose profile has skyrockete­d amid the impeachmen­t trial, to challenge her in the special election.

The AJC poll suggests that Collins is no household name yet, even among Republican­s in Georgia, despite his frequent appearance­s on TV as a staunch opponent to impeachmen­t. About onethird of voters have a favorable opinion of him, nearly one-fifth have a dim view — and half don’t have an opinion or wouldn’t say.

Still, he is on steadier footing with Republican­s, with 53% giving him a favorable review while only 6% have a negative impression of him. The rest are up in the air.

“He’s doing what he thinks is right,” said David Tootle, a cybersecur­ity analyst in Savannah. “If that means grabbing people by the lapels and ruffling feathers, that’s a good thing. That’s what makes the country so great.”

 ?? PETE MAROVICH / THE NEW YORK TIMES ?? President Donald Trump’s base of support in the state is overwhelmi­ng, as his backing from Georgia Republican­s remains solid at 93%.
PETE MAROVICH / THE NEW YORK TIMES President Donald Trump’s base of support in the state is overwhelmi­ng, as his backing from Georgia Republican­s remains solid at 93%.

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