Cunningham

Texas had nearly as many top players declare for the draft or transfer portal as Georgia. The Longhorns also must replace assistant coach Jeff Choate, who helped build a good defense before becoming Nevada’s new head coach. The Longhorns need to stay good on defense if they hope to thrive during their first season in the SEC.

Alabama and Texas falling back leaves Ohio State as the team most likely to stop Georgia. The oddsmakers agree with my view.

The Bulldogs are 3- 1 to win the national championship. That’s an implied probability of 23%. Ohio State is 5- 1 to win the title ( implied probability of 16.7%). Texas is 7- 1 ( 12.5%) and every other team is an 11- 1 or longer shot to win the title.

The Buckeyes have had the best offseason among the elite programs. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. is the only NFL draft early entrant who’s projected to be selected within the first two rounds. Four Buckeyes who might have been drafted within that range decided to stay in Columbus: running back TreVeyon Henderson, edge rusher JT Tunimoloau, wide receiver Emeka Egbuka and cornerback Denzel Burke.

Ohio State had more good players coming in through the portal than leaving. The Buckeyes are No. 8 in the 247 Sports transfer team rankings. They got two of the best transfers from Alabama, safety Caleb Downs and quarterback Julian Sayin, plus ex- Ole Miss star running back Quinshon Judkins. Ohio State’s 2024 class is No. 3 in the 247 Sports composite ranking behind Georgia and Alabama.

Offensive regression is a big reason why the Buckeyes failed to make the CFP field last season. That shouldn’t be a problem in 2024.

Ryan Day has some good options to replace quarterback Kyle McCord, who transferred to Syracuse. Kansas State transfer Will Howard ranks among the favorites to win the Heisman Trophy. Behind him are former fivestar recruits Sayin and Air Noland of Langston Hughes High. The skill corps includes two players who could be the top draft picks for their position next year, Henderson and Egbuka.

Georgia has a lot more roster questions than Ohio State. The expectation is that Kirby Smart will find answers among his young players. No one can match UGA’s talent base now that so many of Saban’s former recruits will play elsewhere. Still, even Georgia could feel the effects of lots of good players leaving at the same time.

Five Bulldogs underclassmen declared the NFL draft: tight end Brock Bowers, offensive tackle Amarius Mims, cornerback Kamari Lassiter, safety Javon Bullard and center Sedrick Van Pran. Top wide receiver Ladd McConkey and leading rushers Daijun Edwards and Kendall Milton are among the Georgia players who decided to go pro instead of using an extra season of eligibility. Star linebacker Jamon Dumas- Johnson and top passrush prospect Marvin Jones Jr. decided to transfer.

The biggest holes to fill for Georgia are at tight end, wide receiver and along the defensive front. It seems unlikely that Georgia’s defense and offensive line will remain below their usual high standard for two years in a row. But it’s also doubtful that the Bulldogs will have a playmaker like Bowers. We’ll see if Smart can mold the Bulldogs into a championship team again.

At least Georgia won’t have to worry much about Michigan being in the way. The Wolverines were an unlikely champion to begin with. Harbaugh won it all with less player talent than any other title- winning coach. Good luck to his replacement in pulling that off with whatever players are left after the inevitable defections during the transfer window.

Harbaugh was in demand as an NFL coach because he once helped turned around the 49ers. He was 44- 19 at San Francisco from 2011- 14 with an NFC championship among three playoff appearances. Harbaugh will coach a better quarterback with the Chargers ( Justin Herbert) than he would have with the Falcons, who don’t even have an average starter. Harbaugh also could have personnel control because Chargers team owner Dean Spanos hired him without a general manager in place.

Blank missed out on Harbaugh. It’s a big loss for the Falcons. It’s another offseason win for Georgia.

JASON GETZ/ JASON. GETZ@ AJC. COM Georgia’s Kirby Smart no longer faces star coaches in Michigan and Alabama, and with Texas’ talent drain, that leaves Ohio State as the Bulldogs’ likely top national rival.