Abortion foes see challenges ahead
Groups prepare for annual march
A year ago, antiabortion activists from across the US gathered for their annual March for Life with reason to celebrate: It was their first march since the Supreme Court, seven months earlier, had overturned the nationwide right to abortion.
At this year’s march, on Friday, the mood will be very different — reflecting formidable challenges that lie ahead in this election year.
“We have undeniable evidence of victory — lives being saved,” said John Seago, president of Texas Right to Life. “But there is also a realization of the significant hurdles that our movement has right now in the public conversation.”
Participants at the march in Washington will salute the 14 states enforcing bans on abortion throughout pregnancy. They will proclaim that thousands of babies have been born who otherwise might have been aborted, even as studies show the total number of abortions provided in the US rose slightly in the year after that enforcement began.
Moreover, antiabortion leaders know that their side has a seven-state losing streak in votes on abortion-related ballot measures.
In this year’s election, several more states are expected to have abortion-rights ballot measures, and Democratic candidates in many races, including President Biden, will be highlighting their support for abortion access.
“We have been around for more than 50 years, and I don’t know of any year that was easy,” said Carol Tobias, president of the National Right to Life Committee.
“But it definitely got harder after Dobbs,” she added. “We have a lot of work ahead of us.”
Tobias was referring to the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization ruling in June 2022, overturning the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that legalized abortion nationwide.
The key consequence of Dobbs was to return decisionmaking on abortion policy to individual states. Some Democratic-governed states — such as California, New York, and New Jersey — have strengthened protections for abortion access. Roughly 20 states with Republican-controlled legislatures have either banned abortion or sought to impose new restrictions.
After Dobbs, “I didn’t want anyone to get the false sense that we were at the end of our work,” said Brent Leatherwood, an abortion opponent who heads the Southern Baptist Convention’s public policy wing.
“We’ve gone from a focal point at the federal level to 50 different focal points,” he said. “It may be another 50 years before we truly establish a culture of life, where preborn lives are saved and mothers are supported.”
Even the current claims of lives being saved due to the Dobbs decision are subject to question. While abortions have decreased to nearly zero in states with total bans, they have increased elsewhere — notably in states such as Illinois, Florida, and New Mexico, which are near those with more restrictions.
Antiabortion leaders are keenly aware that their opponents in the abortion debate depict the wave of state bans as an infringement on women’s rights and a potential danger to their health.
J.J. Straight, part of an American Civil Liberties Union team working to protect and broaden abortion access, says her side also feels determined, especially in light of the recent ballot-measure results.