SpaceX again achieves something unreasonable

Mars.

The U.S. government, incongruously, is building its own behemoth, the Space Launch System, at a cost of some $23 billion and counting.

Skeptics accurately note that this rivalry is heating up just as commercial demand for such firepower is dwindling. Satellites are getting smaller and lighter, while improvements in engine technology mean that smaller rockets — such as SpaceX’s Falcon 9 — can handle bigger payloads. Customers may be hard to come by for the Falcon Heavy.

This misses the bigger picture, however. Competition in the space business — worth some $323 billion annually — is driving down costs and stimulating both innovation and demand.

By mastering reusable rocketry, SpaceX has substantially reduced the expense of getting stuff into orbit, to the benefit of everything from navigation systems to data transmission. At $90 million per launch, the Falcon Heavy will be able to carry twice the payload of its nearest competitor for about one-fifth the cost.

In the near term, this should enable some cheaper military launches, and it also might allow NASA to conduct more frequent research missions into deep space. Conceivably, the Falcon Heavy could even transport people to the moon at a fraction of the expected cost of an SLS launch.

But longer-term, and more intriguingly, the new rocket could open up novel commercial possibilities.

Companies already are testing gear for asteroid mining, space tourism, moon expeditions and much else, spurred on in no small part by SpaceX’s earlier achievements. Add cheap, reliable heavy-lift rockets to the equation and the opportunities only expand.

A few decades from now, more far-out stuff — spacebased energy production, say — might no longer be science fiction.

Even if the Falcon Heavy becomes obsolete, in other words, it will represent an important landmark in the grand American space experiment. Once again, SpaceX has tried something unreasonable — surreal, even — and once again, it has prevailed.

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