The Columbus Dispatch

Plastic waste in oceans could double by 2030

- By Alexander Kwiatkowsk­i

The Internatio­nal Energy Agency has a sobering warning about the health of the world’s oceans.

The total amount of oceanic plastic waste is likely to more than double by 2030, and then keep getting worse, if action isn’t taken now, according to projection­s by the Paris-based organizati­on in a report published Friday.

Images of strangled turtles and tropical waves clogged with garbage have helped raise awareness about the threat to oceans from plastic waste. But the IEA’s projection­s suggest that efforts to curb that pollution — such as the movement to ban plastic straws — may prove futile unless there’s a global revolution in recycling and waste management.

It’s estimated that around 100 million metric tons of plastic waste has already “leaked” into oceans, an amount that’s increasing annually by 5 million to 15 million tons, according to research cited by the IEA. The Pacific garbage patch, which covers an area three times the size of France and holds the equivalent of 250 pieces of plastic for each person on earth, may only contain as much as 79,000 tons, the IEA said.

The problem is that recycling and waste management efforts aren’t keeping pace with the massive growth in plastic production and consumptio­n. Less than 20 percent of plastic waste is collected for recycling, according to the IEA.

Global plastics production has increased by more than tenfold since 1970, according to the IEA. And demand has nearly doubled since the start of the millennium.

The U.S., Europe and other developed economies use as much as 20 times more plastic per capita than emerging economies, according to the IEA. Developing nations will increase their share of global consumptio­n as their population­s get bigger and wealthier, while use by developed countries remains stable or declines.

“Without ambitious action being taken globally, particular­ly in regions in which plastic demand is growing rapidly, current trends of plastic leakage are unlikely even to slow, let alone reverse,” the IEA said.

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