The Commercial Appeal

Who’s in danger ahead of NASCAR’S eliminatio­n race?

- Michelle R. Martinelli

The NASCAR Cup Series playoffs are about to lose a quarter of the championsh­ip-eligible drivers after Saturday night’s race at Bristol Motor Speedway (7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN). It’s the first cutoff event in the 10-race, 16-driver postseason, and when someone takes the checkered flag, only 12 will still be racing for a title.

Under NASCAR’S current system, the most efficient way to advance into the next round is to win a race, but that’s obviously easier said than done.

A reminder: The NASCAR playoffs are divided into four rounds. The first three rounds consist of the races apiece, and the final race in each round is an eliminatio­n race. The playoff field shrinks from the top-16 drivers in the standings to the top-12 to the top-8, and then the final Championsh­ip 4 will race for the title on November 8 at Phoenix Raceway.

So going into the Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol on Saturday, here’s a breakdown of the playoff standings, from who’s automatica­lly advancing to the drivers who are in trouble.

Who’s won a playoff race and advanced to the Round of 12?

Surprise surprise: Kevin Harvick won the Southern 500, the first playoff race, at Darlington Raceway, but it wasn’t in the dominating fashion typical of the No. 4 Ford team this year. Doesn’t matter because a win automatica­lly advances the team - even if it surely would have transferre­d to the next round on points.

Brad Keselowski won the second playoff race at Richmond Raceway in the ridiculous­ly fast car that also won at New Hampshire with earlier this season and that he hopes to take to the championsh­ip race at Phoenix.

Have any other drivers locked themselves into the Round of 12 on points?

Yes, in addition to Harvick and Keselowski, Denny Hamlin also guaranteed a spot in the next round based on points. Hamlin finished 13th at Darlington and 12th at Richmond, and he’s currently third in the playoff standings.

Who should be feeling good going into the Bristol race?

Obviously, the three drivers already advancing to the next round, and they get a little head start looking ahead to Las Vegas Motor Speedway in two weekends.

Beyond them, Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr. and Austin Dillon fill out the next three positions in the playoff standings, and if they all have at least decent finishes at Bristol, they should be OK. Dillon has been a surprise through the first two playoff races, finishing second at Darlington and fourth at Richmond. That’s only the second time this season he’s posted back-to-back top-10 finishes and the first time he’s had consecutiv­e top-5 finishes this year.

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