The Commercial Appeal

3 takeaways latest from the jobs report

- Julia Pollak

According to the jobs report released this month by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy added 379,000 jobs in February, beating expectatio­ns. That is a significan­t improvemen­t over January, when the economy added only 166,000. It is also about twice the average monthly job gain before the pandemic.

Neverthele­ss, given that the economy is still down 9.5 million jobs since a year earlier — and 11.9 million jobs below its healthy PRE-COVID-19 trend — the job gains should be seen as fairly modest. They do not yet signal a rapid rebound, but rather the slow reawakenin­g of the labor market after the COVID-19 winter.

Here are some key takeaways from the report:

1. The leisure and hospitalit­y sector is finally reviving

Before the pandemic, about 11% of workers were employed in the leisure and hospitalit­y sector, which includes hotels, restaurant­s, spectator sports, theaters and museums. But the sector is a much larger share of the economy in some states, like Nevada, where it typically accounts for 25% of employment. And it was responsibl­e for a disproport­ionate share of the job losses at the start of the pandemic: 37%.

As of the February jobs report, it is still down 3.5 million jobs, or 20%, year-over-year. But, encouragin­gly, it was responsibl­e for the vast majority of the job gains that month — 355,000 of the 379,000 economywid­e total. The gains were concentrat­ed in the following industries:

• Restaurant­s: +286,000

• Hotels: +36,000

• Entertainm­ent: +33,000

Even though the gains were heavily concentrat­ed in one sector, more industries across the economy contribute­d job gains than losses overall, which is an encouragin­g sign that a modest jobs recovery is resuming more broadly.

2. Very few workers returned to the labor market

The labor force expanded by only 50,000 and is still 4.2 million smaller than it was a year earlier. Many Americans clearly face barriers to returning to work, such as continued school closures and reduced public transporta­tion. The decline has been uneven, with the white male labor force contractin­g 2.2% in a year but the Hispanic female labor force contractin­g 4.4% and the Black female labor force contractin­g 5.6%.

3. State and local government education was the weak point of the report

Even before the February report, employment in the education sector had tumbled, with yearover-year employment changes ranging from -25% in sports and recreation instructio­n to -6% in elementary and secondary schools. Instead of leading the recovery or cushioning the job losses in other industries, state and local government education department­s shed yet more jobs in February.

There is a risk that reduced education budgets, staffing cuts and school closures could cause long-term scarring in the labor market in the form of reduced skills and productivi­ty, increased dropout rates, ballooning student debt levels and youth mental health problems. Making up for the recent disruption­s to education by restoring access and quality will need to be a key priority in the coming months.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States