The Day

Winners and losers complicate GOP’s path on health care bill

- By RICARDO ALONSO-ZALDIVAR

Washington — Republican­s’ latest health care plan would create winners and losers among Americans up and down the income ladder, and across age groups.

It would give consumers more responsibi­lity for their insurance choices, a goal long held by conservati­ves who argue that’s key to a true health care market. Younger adults and healthy people in the solid middle class may find more agreeable options. But low-income people may not be able to afford coverage, along with older and sicker adults.

And there are potential unintended consequenc­es for people with employer-provided insurance, currently about 170 million Americans. Allowing individual­s to pay premiums from tax-sheltered accounts may create incentives for employers to stop offering coverage, say some independen­t analysts.

The legislatio­n would put limits on federal spending for Medicaid, a partnershi­p program with states to cover low-income people, the disabled and nursing home residents. The drawback is that state officials could eventually face no-win choices, such as having to pick between paying for coverage for low-wage working mothers and support services for elderly people trying to stay out of nursing homes.

As Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., steers toward debate and votes next week, here is a look at some of the latest changes and major issues:

Cruz’s plan

The new Senate bill incorporat­es the core of a proposal from Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, that would reorganize the market for policies purchased by individual­s. As many as 20 million Americans get coverage this way, about half through subsidized markets like HealthCare.gov, created under former President Barack Obama.

Cruz would change basic requiremen­ts that Obama’s law imposed on individual plans, including standard benefits such as pregnancy, maternity and newborn care; wellness visits and mental health treatment. The law also requires the same premium rates for sick and healthy people.

Under the Cruz approach, an insurer can offer plans that don’t comply with such requiremen­ts, provided they also offer coverage that does. The problem, say critics, is that the healthy would flock to low-premium, skimpy plans, leaving the sick to face escalating prices for comprehens­ive coverage.

“Healthy people would have opportunit­ies to buy lower-premium, skinnier plans, while people with pre-existing conditions not eligible for premium subsidies could find themselves priced out of insurance,” said Larry Levitt of the nonpartisa­n Kaiser Family Foundation.

The latest bill includes another $70 billion to help states keep health insurance affordable for older, sicker customers. But it’s not clear how those backstops would work, and the federal funding eventually would end.

Some insurers are worried because of a technical change with huge practical implicatio­ns: Health plans that enroll healthier customers would no longer have to cross-subsidize those with sicker patients, as is currently required.

“We think it is unworkable,” said Justine Handelman, top Washington lobbyist for the BlueCross BlueShield Associatio­n. She predicted skyrocketi­ng costs for taxpayers also, stuck with the bill for sicker patients.

Employer escape hatch?

McConnell’s new bill made a major change to tax-sheltered health savings accounts, which was also advocated by Cruz.

Under the bill, health savings accounts could be used to pay premiums with pre-tax money. Under current law, they can only be used to cover out-of-pocket costs, such as deductible­s and co-payments.

The change is meant to level the playing field for people buying individual plans, as compared to people getting employer coverage. The value of workplace insurance is taxfree for employees and tax-deductible for employers.

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