The Day

U.S. deficit climbing sharply on GOP tax cuts, spending

Shortfall to top $1 trillion a year by 2020,CBO says

- By JEFF STEIN

Washington — America’s deficit is rising sharply and will surpass $1 trillion a year by 2020, a gap that has grown since Congress cut taxes and increased spending, the Congressio­nal Budget Office reported Monday.

The federal deficit will hit $804 billion in fiscal year 2018, up 21 percent from 2017, the CBO said.

“The federal budget deficit grows substantia­lly over the next several years,” CBO Budget Director Keith Hall said Wednesday after his agency released the report. “Federal debt is projected to be on a steadily rising trajectory throughout the decade.”

The new tax law that President Donald Trump and congressio­nal Republican­s passed in December will cut government revenue by $1.3 trillion from 2018 to 2028, CBO reported. When the costs of paying interest on that debt are included, the tax cuts’ total addition to the deficit comes to $1.9 trillion, CBO said.

During the debate over the bill, Republican leaders predicted their bill would spark massive economic growth that would limit — or even eliminate — the additions to the deficit. But the CBO projected Monday that the bill would boost economic growth 0.7 percent over a decade — not enough to keep it from adding to the deficit.

Members of both parties further added to the deficit in March when they increased military and domestic spending by nearly $300 billion over the next two years.

The CBO reported that from 2021 to 2028, deficits will average 4.9 percent of the total American economy — higher than at any point since World War II other than during the recession in 2008 and 2009.

Annual deficits topped $1 trillion from 2009 to 2012, due to greater spending on social safety net programs and economic stimulus, as well as slumping tax receipts as the economy cratered. But the current deficit increases come amid steady economic growth and low unemployme­nt, a time when many economists recommend paying down the deficit.

“The timing of this is really concerning because we’re not coming out of a recession,” Hall said Monday.

The ballooning deficits reflect a growing gap between the level of military services and social spending the government is promising and how much it’s willing to tax Americans to pay for them. The current national debt, including projected future spending on social programs, totals more than $20 trillion.

“We’ve had a big tax cut and a big spending increase, and they’re showing up here,” said Benjamin Page, senior fellow at the Tax Policy Center, a nonpartisa­n think tank.

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