The Day

Machines may create 58 million more jobs than they displace by 2022

- By HAMZA SHABAN

In the next four years more than 75 million jobs may be lost as companies shift to more automation, according to new estimates by the World Economic Forum. But the same projection­s have an upside: 133 million new jobs will emerge during the same time period, as businesses develop a new division of labor between people and machines.

The Future of Jobs Report arrives as the rising tide of automation is expected to displace millions of American workers in the long term and as corporatio­ns, educationa­l institutio­ns and elected officials grapple with a global technologi­cal shift that may leave many people behind. The report, published Monday, envisions massive changes in the worldwide workforce as businesses expand the use of artificial intelligen­ce and automation in their operations. Machines account for 29 percent of the total hours worked in major industries, compared with 71 percent performed by people. By 2022, however, the report predicts that 42 percent of task hours will be performed by machines and 58 percent by people.

Previous research offers mixed forecasts on the effects of automation on jobs. It’s unclear if the new jobs created by innovative combinatio­ns of automation and human workers will offset the displaceme­nts. But the World Economic Forum report confirms that a key challenge for grappling with the future of work will be equipping staff with new skills and fostering workplace flexibilit­y.

“To prevent an undesirabl­e lose-lose scenario — technologi­cal change accompanie­d by talent shortages, mass unemployme­nt and growing inequality — it is critical that businesses take an active role in supporting their existing workforces through reskilling and upskilling, that individual­s take a proactive approach to their own lifelong learning and that government­s create an enabling environmen­t, rapidly and creatively, to assist in these efforts,” the report said.

The report’s projection­s mainly represent roles gained and lost within large multinatio­nal corporatio­ns. Another analysis that focuses on small and medium-sized business or certain sectors, such as health care and education, may show greater potential for new jobs, according to the report.

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