The Day

I want more legal immigrants ...

... and a citizenshi­p question

- Tyler Cowen is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist. He is a professor of economics at George Mason University and writes for the blog Marginal Revolution. By TYLER COWEN

The Trump administra­tion gave up its effort Thursday to restore a citizenshi­p question to the 2020 U.S. Census after pursuing it despite the Supreme Court ruling against it and the Commerce Secretary saying the effort would be dropped. The legality and practicali­ty of the attempt to seek a census question were unclear but I would like to step back and consider some basic questions about this rather embarrassi­ng debacle.

Even if you are pro-immigratio­n, as I am, I believe you should favor asking U.S. residents whether they are citizens when the population is counted.

Unlike many of those who push for the question, I would like to boost the flow of legal immigratio­n by a factor or two or three. Nonetheles­s, are we supposed to let foreigners in (which I favor), and give them a rapid path to citizenshi­p (which I also favor), but somehow we are not allowed to ask them if they are citizens? To me this boggles the mind.

The U.S. asked a citizenshi­p question on the Census starting in 1820 and up until 1950, so it is hard to argue that the idea is unacceptab­le altogether.

I do understand the following realities. First, asking about citizenshi­p informatio­n will make the Census less reliable, as fewer people will respond, typically immigrants but also including some citizens and legal permanent residents. An accurate Census has pragmatic value for economic policymaki­ng and also for research. Perhaps most importantl­y for the current debate, asking about citizenshi­p will lead to a recalculat­ion of electoral districts in a manner which will favor the Republican Party (Latinos are likely to respond at lower rates, and that will apportion less representa­tion to Democratic-leaning areas). It also would reallocate federal dollars away from Democratic-leaning areas.

If you are a Democrat, a Never Trumper, or perhaps just were appalled by the partisan Republican motives behind the move to add the citizenshi­p question, probably I cannot convince you that it’s a good idea. Nonetheles­s, I would like to suggest another way of framing the debate, one which might at least make you less negative in light of the administra­tion’s plans for an alternativ­e way to establish citizenshi­p.

Do you really wish for your view to be so closely affiliated with the attitude that citizenshi­p is a thing to hide? I would be embarrasse­d if my own political strategy implied that I take a firm view — backed by strong moralizing — that we not ask individual­s about their citizenshi­p on the Census form. I would think somehow I was, if only in the longer run, making a huge political blunder to so rest the fate of my party on insisting on not asking people about their citizenshi­p.

Not asking about citizenshi­p seems to signify an attitude toward immigrants something like this: Get them in and across the border, their status may be mixed and their existence may be furtive, and let’s not talk too openly about what is going on, and later we will try to get all of them citizenshi­p. Given the current disagreeme­nt between the two parties on immigratio­n questions, that may well be the only way of getting more immigrants into the U.S. But that is a dangerous choice of political turf, and it may not help the pro-immigratio­n cause in the longer run.

The rationalis­t in me prefers an open debate about letting more people in legally. Countries that do let in especially high percentage­s of legal immigrants, such as Canada and Australia, take pretty tough stances in controllin­g their borders. Both of those countries ask about

citizenshi­p on their censuses. When citizens feel in control of the process, they may be more generous in terms of opening the border.

The U.S. needs more immigrants for reasons that stretch from the cultural to the fiscal to the economic. But as long as it keeps taking in immigrants in torturous and not entirely legal ways, the debate over higher legal immigratio­n will continue to founder. Americans won’t confront the need to raise the legal quotas because the illegal arrivals are an imperfect substitute.

The immigratio­n debate would go better if the focus could shift to legal, publicly recognized rights to citizenshi­p, later to be declared openly in response to government­al inquiries. I would like to see the pro-immigratio­n party — today the Democrats — embrace this shift. Even if in the short run they lose some seats, give up some federal dollars, and have to accept a whacking to their pride.

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