The Denver Post

Stronger global economy helps to improve U.S. job market

- By Christophe­r Rugaber

WASHINGTON» The U.S. job market is benefiting from an unlikely source: Other countries.

The global economy is showing renewed strength, with Europe, Japan and many developing nations growing in tandem for the first time in a decade. The brightenin­g internatio­nal picture is encouragin­g more hiring in the United States — even among manufactur­ers, which have been hurt in the past by global competitio­n.

“We’re seeing demand coming from where we haven’t seen it in a long, long time,” said Scott Anderson, chief economist at Bank of the West. “We’re riding the wave of that added global growth.”

In November, U.S. employers added a substantia­l 228,000 jobs, the Labor Department said Friday. It was the 86th straight month of gains, the longest on record, and a sign of the job market’s enduring strength in the economy’s ninth year of expansion. The unemployme­nt rate held at 4.1 percent, a 17-year low.

Friday’s jobs report coincided with other signs that the U.S. economy remains on firm footing. In the past six months, economic growth has exceeded an annual rate of 3 percent, the first time that’s happened since 2014. Consumer confidence has reached its highest level since 2000.

Europe’s economy is poised to grow at the fastest pace in a decade, and its unemployme­nt rate has reached its lowest level in nearly nine years. Japan’s economy expanded in the fall for the seventh straight quarter, its longest period of growth since 2001. Such developing economies as China and India are growing steadily.

The overall global economy is expanding at its fastest pace in seven years, according to the Organizati­on for Economic Co-Operation and Developmen­t, a Paris-based think tank. It should fare slightly better in 2018, the OECD says.

Stronger economies overseas have helped boost profits at U.S. multinatio­nal corporatio­ns, a key reason why the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index has climbed 18 percent this year. U.S. companies in the S&P index derive about half their revenue from abroad.

Exports contribute­d 0.43 percentage point to economic growth in the July-September quarter, the most in nearly four years. Factories are making more goods for overseas markets, including agricultur­al and mining equipment.

Exports of aircraft engines are up 13 percent, overseas shipments of semiconduc­tors up 8 percent.

Manufactur­ers have stepped up hiring. In November, they added 31,000 jobs. Over the past year, they’ve added 189,000.

“More than anything, a marked improvemen­t in the global economy is what is driving a better US manufactur­ing picture,” said Cliff Waldman, chief economist at MAPI Foundation, a manufactur­ing research group.

Still, solid hiring and a low unemployme­nt rate have yet to accelerate wages, which rose 2.5 percent in November compared with a year earlier.

The last time unemployme­nt was this low, average wages were growing at a 4 percent annual rate.

The November jobs data make it a near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will raise short-term interest rates for the third time this year when it meets next week, economists said.

Hiring last month went well beyond manufactur­ing. Constructi­on firms added 24,000 jobs. Retailers added nearly 19,000 positions, a sign that physical stores are hiring for the holiday shopping season even in the face of brutal competitio­n from e-commerce companies.

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