The Denver Post

Economy grew at solid 2.6 percent rate

- ByMartin Crutsinger

WASHINGTON» The U.S. economy grew at a solid rate of 2.6 percent in the final three months of last year, helped by the fastest consumer spending since the spring of 2016 and a big rebound in home constructi­on.

The fourth quarter advance in the gross domestic product, the country’s total output of goods and services, followed gains of just above 3 percent in the second and third quarters, the Commerce Department reported Friday. The slowdown in the October-December period reflected a worsening trade deficit and less growth in inventory restocking.

For all of 2017, the economy grew 2.3 percent. That is a significan­t improvemen­t from a 1.5 percent gain in 2016 but little changed from the modest 2.2 percent average growth rate turned in since the Great Recession ended in June 2009.

Economists are looking for even better growth this year, propelled by the $1.5 trillion tax cut that President Donald Trump pushed through Congress in December. The Trump administra­tion contends that its economic program of tax cuts, deregulati­on and tougher enforcemen­t of trade laws will lift economic growth to sustained rates of 3 percent or better in coming years.

Trump has said his tax plan will serve as “rocket fuel” for the economy by prompting Americans to spend more and businesses to step up investment.

Economists, however, believe the growth spurt will be short-lived.

”Deficit-financed tax cuts will provide some near-term juice to the economy, but it will prove to be temporary because we are already at full employment and the Federal Reserve will respond by raising interest rates more aggressive­ly,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.

Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said the imports surge that widened the trade deficit reflected a pay-back from port disruption­s caused by hurricanes in the third quarter. He forecast solid growth in coming quarters.

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