The Denver Post

How the trade war is changing minds in a Senate battlegrou­nd

- By Jonathan Mattise and Steve Peoples

NASHVILLE, TENN.» Jimmy Tosh’s sprawling hog farm in rural Tennessee is an unlikely battlegrou­nd in the fight for control of the U.S. Senate.

Yet his 15,000 acres two hours west of Nashville showcase the practical risks of President Donald Trump’s trade policies and the political threat to redstate Republican Senate candidates such as Tennessee’s Marsha Blackburn.

Tosh, a third-generation farmer who almost always votes Republican, said he’s voting this fall for Blackburn’s Democratic opponent, former Gov. Phil Bredesen, in part because Trump’s trade wars are hurting his family business — a sizable one with some 400 employees and 30,000 pigs. The cost of steel needed for new barns is up, Tosh said, and the expanding pork market stands to suffer under new tariffs.

“This tariff situation has got me very, very, very concerned,” Tosh told The Associated Press. “I just think Bredesen would be better on that situation.” He said Blackburn has shifted “toward the center” on tariffs, “but in my opinion, it’s a little late and not far enough.”

Similar concerns are roiling high-profile Senate contests in Missouri, Indiana, Pennsylvan­ia and North Dakota and forcing GOP candidates to answer for the trade policies of a Republican president they have backed on almost every other major issue.

In 2016, populist attacks against free trade defined Trump’s political rise. Now, as he sparks an internatio­nal trade war four months before the midterm elections, few policies could be more problemati­c for Trump’s allies in pivotal Senate contests.

The Trump administra­tion imposed a 25 percent tax on $34 billion worth of Chinese imports on Friday, and China is retaliatin­g with taxes on an equal amount of U.S. products, including soybeans, electric cars and pork. The administra­tion has penalized steel and aluminum imports from allies such as Canada and Mexico, leading to retaliatio­n against American-made products such as blue jeans, motorcycle­s and whiskey.

The tension has reshaped the race to replace retiring Sen. Bob Corker, R-tenn. Blackburn, an eight-term congresswo­man, has been one of the president’s biggest boosters for the past two years, yet with the business community up in arms, she’s dramatical­ly softened her support for Trump’s trade policies, at least.

“We fully appreciate that some of these countries have had a trade war against us for years, certainly China would be in that list, and it’s time that somebody really stands up,” Blackburn told AP. “But with that said, it does cause us tremendous concern, just grave concern.”

Still, Blackburn opposed a proposal by Corker that would have given Congress new authority to check the president’s trade moves. She called Corker’s approach “a little bit too broad.”

Instead, Blackburn helped write a letter urging Trump’s commerce secretary to reconsider broad tariffs so as to avoid harm to Tennessee’s economy.

An estimated $1.4 billion in Tennessee exports are threatened by Trump’s trade moves, according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, a longtime Republican ally. Those exports are linked to more than 850,000 jobs in the state related to farming, steel, baked goods, car manufactur­ing, whiskey and more.

 ?? Jonathan Mattise, The Associated Press ?? Democratic U.S. Senate candidate and former Gov. Phil Bredesen, left, talks with David Womack, a farmer and former American Soybean Developmen­t Foundation president, during a visit to Farrar Farm in Flat Creek, Tenn.
Jonathan Mattise, The Associated Press Democratic U.S. Senate candidate and former Gov. Phil Bredesen, left, talks with David Womack, a farmer and former American Soybean Developmen­t Foundation president, during a visit to Farrar Farm in Flat Creek, Tenn.

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