The Denver Post

It’s driven by demand from buyers who can’t afford to join the SUV boom in U.S.

- By Tom Krisher

CA R LETON, MICH.» Late in the spring, Bob Castaldi started checking used car prices online, wondering if it would be a good time to sell his family’s loadedout 2014 Honda Civic.

Each month, the retiree from suburban Phoenix kept seeing the suggested retail price go up, rising a total of $700 to $900 depending on where the car would be sold. Last week, Castaldi figured the circumstan­ces were right to list the car with just over 30,000 miles on it, and he put it on sale for $16,785.

What Castaldi found is evidence of a broader change in the car business: For the first time in three years, the prices of used sedans have consistent­ly risen, driven by demand from buyers who can’t afford to join the seemingly neverendin­g SUV boom in the United States.

“I was surprised to see that it had gone up,” said Castaldi, who has had inquiries about his Civic but no offers yet.

Since gas prices started falling in mid2015, new and used compact and midsize sedan prices largely dropped as Americans shunned the traditiona­l family car for highersitt­ing and more versatile hatchback SUVs. But this year, things changed.

“We had 11 straight weeks of price appreciati­on this spring and summer when we’d normally see depreciati­on in used vehicle prices,” said Jonathan Smoke, the chief economist for Kelley Blue Book.

Used vehicles usually lose 1 percent of their value per month as they accumulate miles and because of normal wear and tear. Under normal circumstan­ces, they only appreciate in the spring when demand is high, at the height of tax refund season, Smoke said.

Over roughly the past three months, used vehicle prices rose on average by 2.3 percent when they normally would have fallen by 2.8 percent, for a swing in value of over 5 percent, he said.

All segments appreciate­d, but compact and midsize cars were the most pronounced, according to Smoke.

The average price of a new vehicle in the U.S. has climbed steadily since the Great Recession to $35,990 today, up 3 percent over a year ago, according to Kelley Blue Book. That’s out of reach of many buyers, analysts and dealers say.

But the average 4yearold midsize car costs just $13,100, even though it’s up 8 percent this year, according to Black Book, which tracks used sales and values. Compact car prices also are up 8 percent to $11,650.

SUVs still cost more, but prices haven’t jumped as much. A compact SUV that’s 4 years old now goes for $15,950, up 5 percent.

“The demand is up on most everything and the supply is down,” said Jeff Wichman, who buys vehicles for several dealers in the Lansing, Mich., area.

Wichman was among hundreds of dealers and representa­tives looking for used vehicles at the big Manheim auction in Carleton, near Detroit, last week. He says cars are hard to come by, especially the Cadillacs he was trying to find for his clients.

The unexpected demand is coming from “valueconsc­ious consumers” who can’t afford a new vehicle and may even be priced out of the used SUV market, said Anil Goyal, executive vice president of operations at Black Book.

“It’s more for transporta­tion need rather than a custom need when you’re looking for an SUV,” Goyal said.

The shift toward used cars is helping to push down new vehicle sales in the U.S. So far this year, they’re off about 1 percent from last year.

Scott Fink, who runs Hyundai and Chevrolet dealership­s in the Tampa, Fla., area, is seeing more people in his region go for used sedans or smaller new cars. The New Port Ritchey area, where the Hyundai dealership is located, has many middleclas­s retirees on fixed incomes who need to replace vehicles.

They will buy new compact Hyundai Elantras, which Hyundai is discountin­g, or they look at leasing or stretching out payments for as long as seven years, he said.

“The bottom line is SUV prices continue to rise, and new car prices are rising,” making sedans a better value, he said.

Another factor in the rising prices is that even buyers who could afford new vehicles or used SUVs are going for bargains on used sedans because they come with many of the same bells and whistles. Thousands of wellequipp­ed cars are coming back into the market from threeyear leases taken out in 2015, still at relatively low prices, Goyal said.

In 2015, cars accounted for just over 44 percent of U.S. new vehicle sales, but that shrank to 29 percent in August as the shift toward trucks and SUVs continues. Goyal believes the trend is unique to used cars, and he doesn’t see a resurgence in demand for new sedans anytime soon.

And even the increase in used sedan prices may not last. Smoke says prices are starting to level off and even fall slightly, but they still aren’t depreciati­ng like they had been.

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States