The Denver Post

China open to partial trade deal with U.S. despite tech blacklist

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China is still open to reaching a partial trade deal with the U.S., an official with direct knowledge of the discussion­s said, signaling that Beijing is focused on limiting the damage to the world’s second-largest economy.

Negotiator­s heading to Washington for talks starting Thursday aren’t optimistic about securing a broad agreement that would end the trade war between the two nations, said the official, who asked not to be named because the discussion­s are private.

But China would accept a limited deal — like those it has sought since 2017 — as long as no more tariffs are imposed by President Donald Trump, including two rounds of higher duties set to take effect this month and in December, the official said. In return, Beijing would offer non-core concession­s such as purchases of agricultur­al products without giving in on major sticking points, the official said, without offering further details.

In the past, China offered government purchases of American commoditie­s and other short-term gestures aimed at appeasing Trump, only to be rebuffed and pushed with tariffs into pursuing a broader agreement. Heading into these talks, it’s unclear whether the president is under enough domestic pressure with a weakening economy and an impeachmen­t probe to settle for an incrementa­l win this time around.

Stocks rose in the U.S. and Europe as the news revived hopes of progress in trade negotiatio­ns. Treasuries slipped. Separately, the Financial Times reported that China is offering to increase purchases of U.S. soybeans to 30 million tons annually from 20 million presently, citing people briefed on the talks. That would be around the level China was purchasing before the trade war started.

China’s Ministry of Commerce didn’t reply to faxed questions seeking comment.

The latest round of trade talks comes just days after the White House announced the blacklisti­ng of Chinese technology firms over their alleged role in oppression in the far west region of Xinjiang, as well as visa bans on officials linked to the mass detention of Muslims. At the same time, a fight over free speech between China and the National Basketball Associatio­n, triggered by a tweet backing Hong Kong’s protesters, showed the widening gap between the countries.

“There might be big breakthrou­gh in the coming trade talks as both sides have expressed good gestures and positive signals,” said Huo Jianguo, a former Chinese commerce ministry official who is now vice chairman of the China Society For World Trade Organizati­on Studies. “The recent blacklist and sanctions from the U.S. is just another usual tactic to showcase that it has multiple tools in the trade negotiatio­ns in line with Trump’s maximum pressure policy. It is hardly surprising to us, and we shouldn’t take it too seriously.”

Bloomberg News reported last month that the Trump administra­tion has discussed offering a limited deal that would delay or even roll back some U.S. tariffs for the first time in exchange for Chinese commitment­s on intellectu­al property and agricultur­al purchases. Questions about the strength of the U.S. economy have lingered before Trump faces an election next year.

China President Xi Jinping’s government is under pressure to stem the broadening conflict as the trade war adds to the downward forces on China’s slowing economy. At the same time, China has resisted changes to its own industrial and economic policies that could potentiall­y weaken the Communist Party’s grip on the economy.

Trade discussion­s have failed to make serious headway since negotiatio­ns collapsed in early May. Since then, China has ramped up its nationalis­t rhetoric as the U.S. has targeted national champions such as Huawei Technologi­es Co.

The reaction of the Chinese state this week after an NBA team executive tweeted support of protesters in Hong Kong is a case in point, with broadcaste­rs refusing to televise games usually watched by millions. China also vowed to retaliate after the U.S. took action against companies and officials it said were involved in oppressing Muslims in Xinjiang.

“The rising nationalis­m sentiment at home is creating hurdles for President Xi to make concession­s in the upcoming trade talks with the U.S. in light of the NBA firestorm and Xinjiang sanctions,” said Suisheng Zhao, executive director of the Center for ChinaU.S. Cooperatio­n at the University of Denver’s Graduate School of Internatio­nal Studies. “Even if China is willing to make some compromise, that space is limited.”

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