The Mercury News Weekend

Poll shows Clinton extending lead over Trump

- By David Lightman and Lesley Clark

WASHINGTON — Democratic presidenti­al candidate Hillary Clinton has surged to a 15-point lead over Republican Donald Trump, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.

Clinton made strong gains with two constituen­cies crucial to a Republican victory — whites and men — while scoring important gains among fellow Democrats, the poll found.

Clinton not only went up, but Trump also went down. Clinton is now ahead 48 percent to 33 percent, a huge turnaround from her narrow 42-39 advantage last month.

The findings are particular­ly significan­t because the poll was taken after both political convention­s ended and as Trump engaged in a war of words with the parents of Army Capt. Humayun Khan, who was killed in an explosion in Iraq 12 years ago while trying to rescue other soldiers.

“This is coming off the Democratic convention, where a bounce is expected,” said Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion in New York, which conducted the nationwide survey.

“What you don’t want is to have the worst week of your campaign,” a characteri­zation many analysts use to describe Trump’s recent days.

Other polls have shown Clinton in the lead, though Marist’s is the largest so far.

Among poll respondent­s, Clinton was seen more often as a potential president. Fifty-three percent said they would find her acceptable; 39 percent felt that way about Trump.

Francis Duffy, 76, an Upper Darby, Pennsylvan­ia, Republican, said she was voting for Clinton because she found Trump to be scary. “I just don’t feel that Donald Trump is qualified. I think he’s a loose cannon,” she said.

In a four-way race, Clinton retains her lead. She gets 45 percent to Trump’s 31 percent. Libertaria­n Gary Johnson has 10 percent, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein has 6 percent.

The new survey showed Clinton has cut sharply into the Republican nominee’s advantages in every ethnic and racial group.

After a bitter battle with rival Bernie Sanders, the independen­t Vermont senator whose supporters fought all the way to the convention, she has solidified her strength among Democrats, 90 percent of whom now back her, up from 83 percent last month.

Trump gets the nod from just 79 percent of Republican­s, down from 85 percent last month. Some top GOP officials have put distance between themselves and the billionair­e businessma­n, with some saying they’ll back Clinton.

Men had been the bedrock of Trump support. Last month, he was up by 14 percentage points among men; he’s now down 8.

Clinton remains strong with women, among whom she holds a 20-point advantage.

Trump, who gleefully cited polls at campaign events as he swept the Republican primaries, has lately questioned polling.

In Jacksonvil­le, Florida, he said Wednesday, “I hear we’re leading Florida by a bit.”

He added, “I don’t know why we’re not leading by a lot. Maybe crowds don’t make the difference.”

And at a rally in Virginia on Tuesday, he said: “I think these polls — I don’t know — there’s something about these polls, there’s something phony.”

Clinton wins moderates, 50-27 percent. She is far ahead with black voters, 932 percent, and with Latinos, 55-26 percent.

More encouragin­g for Clinton, 57 percent of her backers say their vote is for her, while 40 percent say it’s largely an anti-Trump vote.

Most of Trump’s backers — 57 percent — say their vote is against Clinton, while only 36 percent called it a pro-Trump decision.

 ?? SARAH RICE/GETTY IMAGES ?? Republican presidenti­al candidate Donald Trump is supported by 79 percent of Republican voters, down from 85 percent last month.
SARAH RICE/GETTY IMAGES Republican presidenti­al candidate Donald Trump is supported by 79 percent of Republican voters, down from 85 percent last month.
 ?? JOHN GURZINSKI/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE VIA GETTY IMAGES ?? Democratic presidenti­al candidate Hillary Clinton is supported by 90 percent of Democratic voters, up from 83 percent last month.
JOHN GURZINSKI/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE VIA GETTY IMAGES Democratic presidenti­al candidate Hillary Clinton is supported by 90 percent of Democratic voters, up from 83 percent last month.

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