The Mercury News Weekend

US, Mexico begin new talks today

- By Mark Stevenson

MEXICO CITY » Mexico is taking U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to leave the North American Free Trade Agreement more seriously as a second round of talks opens today in Mexico City on renegotiat­ing the 1994 trade pact.

In the aftermath of Trump’s Sunday tweet saying that Mexico and Canada are “both being very difficult, may have to terminate,” Mexico now says it is developing a “Plan B” in case Trump withdraws from the trade pact.

“Is there a possibilit­y we could hit an impasse that we can’t overcome? That cannot be discounted,” Mexico’s Economy Secretary Ildefonso Guajardo told the country’s Senate. “We have to have an alternativ­e plan perfectly prepared. A scenario without NAFTA is something we have to think about.”

Guajardo said key sticking points include U. S. demands to modify NAFTA’s dispute resolution process and tighten labor standards. In comments to Mexico’s Senate, he said that about 15 of the 25 negotiatin­g groups have run into difference­s after the first round of talks started on Aug. 16 in Washington.

One significan­t clash is over NAFTA’s method of resolving disputes. The current agreement allows binational panels of private experts to decide dif ferences, making it harder for one nation to unilateral­ly impose tariffs on another.

The United States wants to eliminate those panels, but Canada and Mexico fear that would allow the U. S. to throw its greater weight around.

U. S. negotiator­s also want to tighten enforcemen­t of labor standards, currently covered in a largely toothless NAFTA side agreement. A key draw for foreign assembly plants and investment has been Mexico’s low wages.

While average manufactur­ing wages in China had risen to $3.60 per hour by 2016, Mexico’s had shrunk to $2.10, a level some economists say is artificial­ly low. With many workers unable to afford the vehicles Mexico produces, the country exports about three times as many cars as are purchased domestical­ly. Most of those exports go to the United States.

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