The Mercury News Weekend

Orbiting Tesla could landonEart­h.

If researcher­s are right, young earthlings whowatched the SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket launchmay still be alive when the car comes back near Earth this century

- By Ethan Baron ebaron@bayareanew­sgroup.com

The Tesla Roadster blasted into orbit around the sun by Elon Musk’s SpaceX is going to pass close to Earth, according to a new study, and young earthlings may still be alive when it happens.

In fact, the space- going car with the astronauts­uited mannequin at the wheel may actually collide with our planet eventually, though the chances are fairly small and the time horizon far, far away, researcher­s found.

While the vehicle itself will likely last for tens of millions of years, it will pass close to Earth quite soon, relatively speaking, the researcher­s said in a report released this week. By “close,” they mean at least as near as the Moon.

“The first close encounter with the Earth will occur in 2091,” said the astrophysi­cists from Canada and the Czech Republic.

That’s only 73 years from now, so it’s probable that some children who watched imagery of the SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket launching with the Tesla on Feb. 6, and of the vehicle in space afterward, will be around when the red Roadster comes back into Earth’s vicinity.

The chance that the car will actually strike our planet is relatively slight — around 6 percent— over the next million years, the researcher­s said in the draft of their report, which has not been peer reviewed.

One of the researcher­s, University of Toronto astrophysi­cist Hanno Rein, told Science magazine that his team made its prediction­s by charting the Roadster’s expected orbit over the next several million years.

The scientists believe their shorter-term prediction­s are more accurate than those covering possible events further in the future, Rein told CBS News.

“We can’t predict with certainty what’s going to happen after just a few hundred years, because it’s a chaotic orbit and we can only draw conclusion­s in a statistica­l sense,” Rein said.

 ?? PHOTOS BY SPACEX VIA GETTY IMAGES ?? A Tesla roadster launched fromthe Falcon Heavy rocket with a dummy named “Starman” heads towardMars.
PHOTOS BY SPACEX VIA GETTY IMAGES A Tesla roadster launched fromthe Falcon Heavy rocket with a dummy named “Starman” heads towardMars.
 ??  ?? In a new report, researcher­s claim the chance the car will actually strike our planet in return orbits is relatively slight — around 6percent — over the next million years.
In a new report, researcher­s claim the chance the car will actually strike our planet in return orbits is relatively slight — around 6percent — over the next million years.
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 ?? PHOTO BY SPACEX VIA GETTY IMAGES ?? Researcher­s made prediction­s about Tesla’s Roadster by charting its expected orbit over the next several million years.
PHOTO BY SPACEX VIA GETTY IMAGES Researcher­s made prediction­s about Tesla’s Roadster by charting its expected orbit over the next several million years.

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