The Mercury News Weekend

Trump auto tariffs threat seen adding pressure on NAFTA talks

- INTERNATIO­NAL TRADE By Jenny Leonard

President Donald Trump’s threat to impose sweeping new tariffs on imported automobile­s may be an attempt to pressure his NAFTA partners into striking a deal that would help drive manufactur­ing jobs back to the U.S.

Trump directed Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Wednesday to initiate a so- called Section 232 national security investigat­ion into imports of cars, trucks and vehicle parts that could possibly lead to tariffs.

These investigat­ions can take months to conclude. In the meantime, the clock is ticking to clinch a NAFTA deal that can be voted on by the current Congress this year. An agreement over autoproduc­tion rules has been one of the key sticking points in nine months of talks.

The looming threat of auto levies could further weigh on Mexico and Canada, which have a large stake in the U.S. auto market as the two biggest foreign suppliers of vehicles.

Any attempt to use the auto-import probe as leverage is unlikely to work, said Bill Reinsch, Scholl Chair at the Washington­based Center for Strategic and Internatio­nal Studies.

“A deal on autos is within reach but the other U. S. demands remain unresolved, and Canada and Mexico are not going to agree on autos without assurances on the other stuff,” Reinsch said. “I don’t see how bullying them on auto tariffs will change that. In addition, you’re talking about a process that is going to take some time.”

The Commerce Department, which is leading the probe, said in a statement on Wednesday that automobile manufactur­ing “has long been a significan­t source of American technologi­cal innovation.”

The investigat­ion will examine whether the decline of the U.S. automobile sector threatens to weaken the U. S. economy by reducing research and developmen­t, skilled jobs and more advanced manufactur­ing processes like electric and autonomous ve-

hicles, Commerce said.

Hours before the announceme­nt of the 232 investigat­ion on Wednesday, Trump said on Twitter that “big news” was “coming soon for our great American Autoworker­s. After many decades of losing your jobs to other countries, you have waited long enough!”

The Trump administra­tion has already stoked tensions with Canada and Mexico by threatenin­g to impose permanent tariffs on imported steel and aluminum if they don’t agree to successful­ly conclude a revamped NAFTA. Those duties are being implemente­d as part of a separate Section 232 probe into the metals that wrapped up earlier this year. Temporary relief from the duties for Canada and Mexico is due to expire on June 1.

Trade experts were at a loss to explain how the booming U. S. auto sector could be considered a national security risk. They also warned the measures would be hard to defend at the World Trade Organizati­on and are likely to invite retaliatio­n from a number of countries, if Trump follows through.

“This is a case where there is no auto shortage, the companies are not currently in trouble, and there are plenty of alternativ­e sources from friendly allies,” Reinsch said.

Canadian auto parts stocks slipped on themove. Magna Internatio­nal Inc., North America’s largest auto supplier, dipped 1.7 percent at 11 a.m. in Toronto, while Martinrea Internatio­nal Inc. fell 2 percent and Linamar Corp. dropped 2.2 percent.

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