The Mercury News Weekend

Top American brands warn tariffs could force price increases

Companies such as Coca-Cola, Whirlpool warn tariffs could force them to raise prices

- By Rachel Siegel and Hamza Shaban The Washington Post

Some of the largest companies in America are reporting that they are suffering the sting of the Trump administra­tion’s trade war, sounding alarm in an otherwise prosperous economy

Midway through the corporate earnings season, companies across a broad array of industries are citing tariffs, particular­ly those imposed on aluminum and steel, as the culprit for lower profits, higher prices for consumers and even sweeping changes in their planning and operations, such as moving production out of China.

Goods as varied as whiskey and My Little Pony, washing machines and Maseratis are caught in the crossfire of a trade war that has brewed for months. SinceMarch, President Donald Trump has levied tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of steel and aluminum imports from China, Canada, Mexico, the European Union, Japan and other nations. He is also threatenin­g to impose tariffs on cars and uranium.

Some worry that the tariffs could disrupt a healthy economy that, so far, has kept an even keel amid President Trump’s Twitter storms, a rise in oil prices and anticipati­on that the Federal Reserve will keep notching up interest rates. Despite Washington’s chaos, reliably strong corporate earnings have provided a ballast in U.S. financial markets since the prospect of a trade war emerged.

Now, companies from General Motors to Harley-Davidson to Whirlpool say the tariffs give them reasons to worry.

Trump tweeted Tuesday that “tariffs are the greatest!” The president sees them as a tool to level the playing field for U.S. businesses “in a contained, not too violent way, such that the economic growth we are experienci­ng will basically save us from any turbulence,” said Michael Farr, a Washington investment manager.

“So there’s the theory, and we are well into act one,” Farr said. “And I don’t think we really know the answers.”

Companies including General Motors, Coca- Cola, Harley-Davidson and Brown-Forman have warned that the tar---

iffs could push themto raise prices for customers.

Brown-Forman said it would raise prices on its whiskeys, including Jack Daniel’s, in parts of Europe because of tariffs on American-made bourbon. The company told CNBC at the end of June that buyers of Jack Daniel’s or Woodford Reserve whiskey could expect a 10 percent bump in the price of a standard, 700ml bottle.

Coca- Cola’s chief executive James Quincey told CNBC on Wednesday that it too was being squeezed by the steel and aluminum tariffs.

“We had to take, with our bottling partners, an increase in our sparkling beverage industry in the middle of the year, which is relatively uncommon,” Quincey said after Coke reported better-than-expected earnings this week.

General Motors said Wednesday that it has lowered its outlook for 2018 earnings in part because of significan­t increases in the costs of raw materials. GM’s stock fell about 6 percent by afternoon trading. GM’s chief financial officer Chuck Stevens said in a call with analysts that the company will offset some of the higher costs by raising prices for consumers.

“To the extent that we have opportunis­tic ability to pass along some, wewill,” he said.

Rebecca Lindland, an analyst at Kelley Blue Book, said the pressure of tariffs has been weighing on automakers for so long that manufactur­ers wonder if this is their new reality. But the industry is not nimble. Carmakers operate on amassive scale, with multiyear commitment­s to assembly plants and suppliers. According to Lindland, swiftly navigating the whims of the Trump administra­tion won’t be easy.

“Trump will sometimes talk about pain in the short term and gains in the long term,” she said. “But the short term is years and that pain could lead to very bad consequenc­es, because you’re underminin­g profitabil­ity.”

Higher prices may also trigger challenges for consumers. Most car owners max out the amount of money they can borrow to buy a vehicle, Lindland said. But more expensive cars may lead to extended repayment periods, meaning people will owe more on their vehicles than what they are worth, for longer periods of time. In turn, this may de- lay or prevent new car purchases, she said.

On Tuesday, Harley-Davidson said that it expects its operating margin as a percent of revenue to hit 9 to 10 percent because of the tariffs, down slightly from last year. In June, the company said EU tariffs will add about $2,200 to the average price of a motorcycle, posing “an immediate and lasting detrimenta­l impact to its business.”

Harley- Davidson also plans to shift operations overseas. The company that prides itself in its made in the USA brand has plants in operation in Australia, Brazil and India. It had already planned to open a facility in Thailand and says moving production out of the United States will soften the blow of EU tariffs.

On a company earnings call this week, executives said the plant in Thailand— set to open this year — will help secure lower prices for dealers and consumers that aren’t “burdened with excessive tariffs.”

The toymaker Hasbro is also planning a move, saying Monday that it will relocate much of its Chinese production elsewhere. It did not specify where.

Companies say their profits are suffering, too. Whirlpool, which was supposed to benefit from Trump-im- posed tariffs on foreignmad­e washing machines earlier this year, reported Tuesday that it did not make its second-quarter earnings estimates as steel prices rose 50 percent.

On a company earnings call, Whirlpool chief executive Marc Bitzer said steel costs worldwide have “risen substantia­lly. “

“And in particular in the U.S., they have reached unexplaina­ble levels,” Bitzer said.

The tariffs Trump imposed in January on foreign washing machines were celebrated at the time by Whirlpool, which had been losing market share to its Korean competitor­s LG and Samsung.

Fiat Chrysler, too, said on Wednesday that some of the company’s biggest challenges stem from negative impacts of duties on imported vehicles to China. Chief Executive Mike Manley said the duty changes led to “a significan­t slowdown in sales and shipments to dealers” of Maseratis.

Trump argues that the tariffs will right years of unfair trade policies.

 ?? GETTY ARCHIVES ?? Harley-Davidson recently said that EU tariffs will add about $2,200to the average price of a motorcycle, posing “an immediate and lasting detrimenta­l impact to its business.” The company also plans to shift operations overseas to soften the blow from the tariffs.
GETTY ARCHIVES Harley-Davidson recently said that EU tariffs will add about $2,200to the average price of a motorcycle, posing “an immediate and lasting detrimenta­l impact to its business.” The company also plans to shift operations overseas to soften the blow from the tariffs.
 ?? ASSOCIATED PRESS ARCHIVES ?? Even My Little Pony is feeling the effects of the trade war. Hasbro, the maker of the toy, announced recently that it plans to relocate much of its Chinese production because of tariffs.
ASSOCIATED PRESS ARCHIVES Even My Little Pony is feeling the effects of the trade war. Hasbro, the maker of the toy, announced recently that it plans to relocate much of its Chinese production because of tariffs.

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