The Mercury News Weekend

Tesla may be closing in on full autonomy

- By Rex Crum rcrum@bayareanew­sgroup.com Contact Rex Crum at 408278-3415.

Will your Tesla be able to drive itself by the end of the year?

According to Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk, what he called a “feature- complete” version of Tesla’s full self- driving car capabiliti­es could be available in an early access program to some drivers before the year is over. Musk said there was no guarantee that the full self- driving technology for Teslas would come out in the next few months, but that the company was “on track” to make such a developmen­t a reality in the near future.

But even if Tesla rolls out “feature- complete” self- driving in a testing program by the end of December, Musk said drivers will still need to keep their hands on, or very near, their steering wheels until a fully functional selfdrivin­g car is a reality. And Musk said such a vehicle won’t be around until the end of 2020 at the earliest.

Musk made his latest comments about Teslas being able to eventually drive themselves during the company’s third- quarter earnings call on Wednesday. He tried to clear up some of the confusion that has come with the company’s use of the team “feature- complete” to describe what a Tesla could do without a driver holding onto a car’s steering wheel.

“It’s the car ( being) able to drive from one’s house to work, most likely without interventi­ons. So it will still be supervised, but it will be able to drive,” Musk said. According to Musk, the technology would build upon the “low-speed autonomy” that Teslas can now have with Smart Summon, a new feature that allows Tesla drivers to remotely call their cars to leave parking spots and pick them up at a curbside within a parking lot.

Dan Ives, managing director with Wedbush Securities, said that if Tesla can make self-driving cars a reality, “the endeavor would be a crowning achievemen­t of Musk and this product developmen­t looks ahead of schedule.” From a financial standpoint, Ives said the self driving feature “is high margin and flows directly to the (company’s) bottom line.”

Tesla isn’t just giving away its full self- driving technology package for free. Customers who want the capabiliti­es in their cars have to pay an extra $7,000 for the package on top of their car’s standard sticker price.

Musk’s comments about Tesla’s moves toward fully self- driving cars increased enthusiasm for the company’s latest quarterly results, which included an earnings surprise and supported a belief that Tesla can consistent­ly turn a profit.

Tesla said that for the quarter that ended in September, it earned $1.86 a share, excluding onetime items, on $6.30 billion in revenue, compared to Wall Street analysts’ estimates for a loss of 24 cents a share, on $6.45 billion. Tesla also said it still expects to deliver at least 360,000 cars this year.

Gene Munster, managing partner at Loup Ventures, said Tesla’s profitabil­ity “is a measurable and potentiall­y sustainabl­e positive that could change the long-term trajectory of the Tesla story.”

Tesla’s better- than- expected results, and reiteratin­g of its delivery forecast, raised investors’ enthusiasm for the company, and sent Tesla’s shares up nearly 17%, to close Thursday at $297.67.

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