The Mercury News Weekend

King tides rolling in along the coast today

Tidal fluctuatio­ns reflect a future of rising sea levels

- By Jerimiah Oetting joetting@bayareanew­sgroup.com

Ocean waters will reach farther inland this morning as one of the year’s biggest tides pulls water to its high point.

King tides, a general term for these regular and predictabl­e events, return in the first of two such extreme tides this year, with the second round occurring in February.

The largest tidal fluctuatio­ns of the year will only be a matter of inches from the year’s typical high tides, said Gary Griggs, who studies coastal erosion and sealevel rise at UC Santa Cruz. But it reflects future projection­s of increasing sea levels, where such high tides become a new normal.

“The peak here in Santa Cruz is about 6.2 feet, and that’s not that uncommon,” he said. “But it’s a chance to see what a really high tide does in places that you may not normally know are that close to sea level.”

Though ocean water may be lapping at your feet a bit farther up the beach, tidal fluctuatio­ns are caused by the celestial bodies high overhead. When the sun and moon are aligned during full and new moons, their gravitatio­nal pull combines and increases its influence on the Earth’s oceans. If this occurs while the Earth is at its closest point to the sun in its orbit, the effect is even greater and causes king tides.

What goes up must come down. The same forces pulling water farther inland also will cause it to retreat farther away from the coast during the daily low tide, Griggs said. That provides new opportu

nities for tide pooling as areas that are typically underwater will be exposed.

For coastal explorers, Griggs said that places like Fitzgerald Marine Reserve in San Mateo County and Natural Bridges State Beach in Santa Cruz “are wonderful opportunit­ies” for tide pooling. But he added, “Keep aware of what the tides are doing so you’re not sitting on a rock when the tide comes in.”

Though the increased tides won’t be a tsunami, if large waves accompany them, Griggs said the extra water can become a danger — and is what will cause the most coastal erosion in the future.

“It’s the waves that really do the damage, rather than just filling up the bathtub a few more inches,” he said.

Griggs also said low-lying areas near the coastline will produce the most dramatic visuals of the tidal increase. During the year’s highest tides, places like the Embarcader­o in San Francisco can become flooded.

“That’s what we expect to see with sea level rise in the next decades,” said Anne Kohut Frankel, the California Coastal Commission’s grants and education coordinato­r. “What’s being flooded now is going to be vulnerable in the future.”

The current projection­s for sea level rise in San Francisco are between 1.1 and 2.7 feet by 2050, according to the State of California SeaLevel Rise Guidance.

Though king tides are not caused by sea level rise, they offer a snapshot of what higher sea levels might look like in the future — and the California King Tides Project wants people all along the coast to submit their photos as they explore the coast. The project, which is in its 10th year, takes those user-submitted photos and pins them to a map, offering publicly accessible visualizat­ions of a future planet with more ocean water.

Frankel said the photos also are used by the California Coastal Commission, as well as its collaborat­ors.

“The photos are useful scientific­ally and for planning uses,” Frankel said. “They help identify the people and areas that are vulnerable to sea level rise.”

Last year, the project produced around 800 photos. Those photos are a “consciousn­ess-raising exercise,” she said, adding that the project gets “people thinking and talking and sharing what they observed.”

“As we try and take action on climate change, the more people talking about it and thinking about it,” Frankel said, “the more successful we’ll be as we act on climate change.”

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