The Mercury News Weekend

Ten pieces of good news for the environmen­t in 2020

- By saximilian Auffhammer Maximilian Auffhammer is a professor in sustainabl­e developmen­t and associate dean of social sciences at the University of California, Berkeley.

“A few really great things happened this year that will allow us to build a better future for everyone on this planet.”

I’m so over 2020. So, in the interest of “glass half full,” here is my top 10 list of good things that happened to the environmen­t this year:

1

The election of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Team Joe has managed to make climate change and the new energy economy a pillar campaign theme that resonated with the public for the first time in U. S. history. Their ambitious plan of action, if implemente­d, will make significan­t headway in fighting the causes and consequenc­es of climate change.

2

China’s climate targets. China has historical­ly fought against emissions targets that were not tied to economic activity. This has changed. China has embarked on a serious path toward carbon neutrality. This. Is. A. Huge. Deal. 3

Renewables and storage are getting cheaper. Solar and wind continue their march toward being the cheapest source of electricit­y available. Across the world we are seeing record after record fall. That makes grid-scale storage the final frontier, and things look promising there as well.

4

Coal is on its way out. Sing it. The swan song. Light it. The cigar. It’s over. What has happened to coal in the past year exceeded even the Lorax’s wildest expectatio­ns. And let’s remember, U.S. coal is still benefiting from an uneven playing field. There are subsidies galore and no price on carbon where this stuff is being burned. And still coal can no longer compete.

5

Vehicle manufactur­ers are onboard with higher fuel economy. The Obama administra­tion implemente­d aggressive fuel economy standards, which the Trump administra­tion torpedoed. Turns out vehicle manufactur­ers don’t want the relaxation in standards as much as they would like a single set of standards across the country and some regulatory certainty. 6

Progress on social cost of carbon. The Trump administra­tion reversed Obama-era efforts to properly account for the damages from climate change in federal regulation­s by changing the social cost of carbon to $1-$7 per ton of carbon dioxide from $42 and stopping all research. Folks at Resources for the Future and Cal’s Climate Impact Lab have pushed the necessary research along so the new administra­tion can hit the ground running. 7

Satellites! Methane! We do not know where a large share of the emissions of the super-greenhouse-gas methane emissions is coming from. New satellite technology will allow us to detect even small leaks of methane at oil and gas wells and in pipeline infrastruc­ture. Knowing where you have a problem is an important first step to successful regulation.

8

The swan song of the combustion engine. I love cars. I never thought I would say this, but I would take a dual motor electric beast over American muscle any day. Just make EVs cost competitiv­e and prettier (come on Nissan!). California and Europe basically laid down the law: Car companies, you have to figure out how to make EVs that have range and that people can afford and want by 2035.

9

Trucks. I grew up in a trucking family. I have dispatched, loaded and driven big trucks. I love big trucks. But I realize that they are seriously bad for the environmen­t and cause massive health damage, often affecting poorer communitie­s of color. California’s advanced truck rule is a first step to fixing this market failure. 10

Environmen­tal justice. 2020 may be the year that even economists finally understood that efficiency is not the only “e” worth thinking about. Equity concerns have finally entered — arguably much too late — the economic discipline’s main stage and the way we will evaluate the economic impacts of environmen­tal policies.

So, yes, 2020 sucks. But let’s take solace in the fact that a few really great things happened this year that will allow us to build a better future for everyone on this planet.

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