The Mercury News

Powerful storm has Florida in its sights

Category 5 hurricane to hit Caribbean first

- By Danica Coto Associated Press

Wielding the most powerful winds ever recorded for a storm in the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Irma bore down Tuesday on the Leeward Islands of the northeast Caribbean on a forecast path that could take it toward Florida over the weekend.

The storm, a dangerous Category 5, posed an immediate threat to the small islands of the northern Leewards, including Antigua and Barbuda, as well as the British and U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

“The Leeward Islands are going to get destroyed,” warned Colorado State University meteorolog­y professor Phil Klotzbach, a noted hurricane expert. “I just pray that this thing wobbles and misses them. This is a serious storm.”

Irma had maximum sustained winds of 185 mph in late afternoon as it approached the Carib-

bean from the east, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami.

Four other storms have had winds that strong in the overall Atlantic region but they were in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico, which are usually home to warmer waters that fuel cyclones. Hurricane Allen hit 190 mph in 1980, while 2005’s Wilma, 1988’s Gilbert and a 1935 great Florida Key storm all had 185 mph winds.

Irma is so strong because of the unusually warm waters for that part of the Atlantic.

Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 60 miles from the center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 175 miles.

‘Extremely dangerous’

The center of Irma was about 130 miles east of Antigua and about 135 miles east-southeast of Barbuda, prompting an ominous warning from officials as the airport closed.

People in the two-island nation should seek protection from Irma’s “onslaught,” officials warned in a statement, closing with: “May God protect us all.”

Several small islands were directly in the path of the storm.

In addition to Barbuda they included Anguilla, a small, low-lying British island territory of about 15,000 people.

Authoritie­s there converted three churches and a school into shelters as they prepared for a big storm surge and the full brunt of the winds.

The storm was moving west at 15 mph, and the hurricane center said there was a growing possibilit­y its effects could be felt in Florida later this week and over the weekend.

If it stays on the forecast track and reaches the Florida Straits, the water there is warm enough that the already “intense” storm could become much worse with wind speeds potentiall­y reaching 225 mph, warned Kerry Emanuel, an MIT meteorolog­y professor.

“People who are living there (the Florida Keys) or have property there are very scared, and they should be,” Emanuel said.

The storm’s eye was expected to pass about 50 miles from Puerto Rico late Wednesday.

“Puerto Rico has not seen a hurricane of this magnitude in almost 100 years,” Carlos Anselmi, a National Weather Service meteorolog­ist in San Juan, told The Associated Press.

For the U.S. “this looks like at this point that it’s very hard to miss,” said University of Miami senior hurricane researcher Brian McNoldy. “You’d be hard pressed to find any model that doesn’t have some impact on Florida. Whether it’s the worst case or nextto-worst case, it doesn’t look good.”

“The decisions that we make in the next couple of hours can make the difference between life and death,” Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rossello said. “This is an extremely dangerous storm.”

Antigua and Barbuda Prime Minister Gaston Browne said he was confident Barbuda would weather the storm.

“I am satisfied that at a government­al level that we have done everything that is humanly possible to mitigate against the effects or the potential effects of this storm,” he said. “What is really required now is for Antiguans and Barbudans ... to follow the warnings and to act appropriat­ely so that we do not end up with any serious casualties.”

Bracing for a hit

Puerto Ricans braced for blackouts after the director of the island’s power company told reporters that storm damage could leave some areas without electricit­y for about a week and other, unspecifie­d areas for four to six months.

The utility’s infrastruc­ture has deteriorat­ed greatly during a decadelong recession, and Puerto Ricans experience­d an island-wide outage last year.

Both Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands expected 4 inches to 10 inches of rain and winds of 40-50 mph with gusts up to 75 mph.

“This is not an opportunit­y to go outside and try to have fun with a hurricane,” U.S. Virgin Islands Gov. Kenneth Mapp warned. “It’s not time to get on a surfboard.”

In Florida, residents also stocked up on drinking water and other supplies.

Gov. Rick Scott activated 100 members of the Florida National Guard to be deployed across the state, and 7,000 National Guard members were to report to duty Friday when the storm could be approachin­g the area.

On Monday, Scott declared a state of emergency in all of Florida’s 67 counties.

 ?? .NOAA ?? the Caribbean late on Tuesday Satellite image shows Irma over
.NOAA the Caribbean late on Tuesday Satellite image shows Irma over
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 ?? LARA CERRI/THE TAMPA BAY TIMES VIA ASSOCIATED PRESS ?? Jackie Kreuter, of Gulfport, Fla., tosses patio furniture into the pool to prevent it from blowing away in the hurricane.
LARA CERRI/THE TAMPA BAY TIMES VIA ASSOCIATED PRESS Jackie Kreuter, of Gulfport, Fla., tosses patio furniture into the pool to prevent it from blowing away in the hurricane.

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