The Mercury News

Gamble on P&G

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Judging by the stock’s performanc­e over the last five years (as of recently, a paltry 8 percent cumulative gain), investors are in a sour mood about Procter & Gamble’s (NYSE: PG) business. Some of that pessimism is justified, given that P&G has shed market share in a few key product categories, such as shaving care, during that time. The broader consumer products industry is facing wider challenges, too, including rising costs of raw materials.

Yet P&G is faring better than its peers in some respects. Its industry-leading profitabil­ity relies on an impressive selling infrastruc­ture that’s become even more efficient through an aggressive cost-cutting program. It draws strength from its scale and solid retailer relationsh­ips.

Consider that even if it downsized to 65 brands, more than a dozen of those generate more than $1 billion in annual sales. As many of P&G’s brands are consumer staples, much of its business has proven to be more resilient during economic downturns.

P&G is aiming for faster sales growth this year and is rolling out significan­t price increases that could boost earnings. Investors are right to be cautious about that bright outlook, but the stock doesn’t need head-turning revenue figures to outperform rivals from this low point.

The stock is well worth considerin­g for its stability and solid dividend — which recently yielded 3.2 percent and which has been increased for 62 consecutiv­e years.

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