See how Pac-12 bowl lineup should shake out

There are two general scenarios for bowl selection day today for the Pac-12 — one with Washington State in the New Year’s Six and the other with the Cougars in a Pac12-affiliated bowl — and bowl officials have had a week to discuss their options. Here’s the Pac-12 Hotline’s best guess …

If Washington State doesn’t make the New Year’s Six

ROSE >> Washington

First appearance since the 2000 season.

ALAMO >> Washington State

Record, ranking and head-to-head wins over Stanford, Oregon and Utah make the Cougars an easy pick for San Antonio. Plus, Mike Leach back in Texas! HOLIDAY >> Oregon

Ducks haven’t participated in a decade and bring brand appeal and (presumably) a solid contingent to San Diego. Bowl officials would hope for the best with Justin Herbert. (Note: We’re not discounting the possibility of Utah landing here, but Oregon seems more likely.) REDBOX >> Stanford

Back in Levi’s Stadium to (probably) face one of its recent Rose Bowl counterparts, Michigan State or Wisconsin. Bowl must hope for a better turnout from Stanford fans.

SUN >> Utah

With Holiday leaning green and the Redbox off the table — the Utes were just in Levi’s for the title game — the conference runner-up falls all the way to the No. 5 bowl. LAS VEGAS >> Arizona State

Devils must be selected above Cal because of conference record, but they probably would be anyhow with the convenience for fans and the appeal of Herm Edwards. CHEEZ-IT >> Cal

A bit of Golden Bear symmetry: First bowl game of the Jeff Tedford era was in Phoenix. Don’t think Cal’s quarterback will throw for 400 yards this time. Or become a Hall of Famer.

If Washington State jumps into the New Year’s Six

ROSE >> Washington

If it’s Michigan, then for the second UW game in a row: first team to 10 wins. FIESTA/PEACH >> Washington State

Committee will make the best pairing with serious consideration given to geography/travel.

ALAMO >> Oregon

Last time in San Antonio, in the 2015 season, the Ducks lost to TCU 47-41 in triple-overtime.

HOLIDAY >> Utah

In this scenario, Utes jump Stanford into the Holiday based on division title, head-to-head result and the prospect of a sea of red in San Diego. REDBOX >> Stanford

Seems locked in regardless.

SUN >> Cal

Time for some deal-making …

LAS VEGAS >> Arizona State

Per conference policy, ASU should be Sun-bound by virtue of having a better record than Cal (5-4 vs 4-5). except the Devils were just in El Paso last year. If all parties agree (the conference, both schools and both bowls), the teams could flip to avoid a repeat for ASU.

Pac-12 Hotline Newsletter:

Jon Wilner brings you everything you need to know, and a lot of what he thinks, about the Pac-12, both on and off the field. MERCURYNEWS.COM/TAG/PAC-12-HOTLINE